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Modeling spatial pattern of anemia and malnutrition co-occurrence among under-five children in Ethiopia: A Bayesian
Osafu Augustine Egbon1, Asrat Mekonnen Belachew2, Mariella Ananias Bogoni1
1Institute of Mathematical and Computer Sciences, University of São Paulo, São Carlos, Brazil; Department of Statistics, Universidade Federal de São Carlos, São Carlos, Brazil.
Insights
Anemia and malnutrition in Ethiopian children under five are linked to factors like maternal education and distance to healthcare. Interventions targeting parents are recommended, especially in the North-East regions.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Pediatrics
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Anemia and malnutrition pose significant public health challenges for children under five in Ethiopia.
- The co-occurrence of these conditions exacerbates health risks and developmental impacts.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify socio-economic, demographic, and geographical risk factors associated with the co-occurrence of anemia and malnutrition in Ethiopian children under five.
- To analyze spatial patterns of these co-occurring conditions.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey data from 2011 and 2016.
- Employed a Bayesian hierarchical mixed model with stochastic partial differential equations for spatial analysis.
Main Results:
- Identified key risk factors including child's gender, maternal education, birth order, preceding birth intervals, vaccination status, contraceptive use, marital status, proximity to health facilities, and birth weight.
- Revealed heightened vulnerability in children under twenty months and significant geographical disparities, with higher prevalence in North-Eastern regions.
Conclusions:
- Parent-focused interventions addressing individual-level risk factors are more effective than child-focused ones for tackling co-occurring anemia and malnutrition.
- Prioritizing interventions in high-prevalence areas, particularly the North-East region, is crucial for cost-effective public health strategies.
Abstract:
Anemia and malnutrition among under-five children are some of the challenges to public health in Ethiopia. This study aims to determine the socio-economic, demographic, and geographical risk factors that increase the prevalence of the co-occurrence of anemia and malnutrition among under-five children in Ethiopia. The Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey data for the survey years 2011 and 2016 were used. A Bayesian hierarchical mixed model with a stochastic partial differential equation was adopted to understand the spatial patterns of co-occurrence of these ailments in Ethiopia. The significant risk factors are gender, maternal education, birth order, preceding births, contraceptive use, vaccination, marital status, distance to a health facility, and birth weight. Findings revealed more vulnerability among children less than twenty months and existing geographical disparity with a higher burden of the prevalence of the co-occurrences of anemia and malnutrition in the North-East regions. For cost-effective intervention, policies and programs that improve individual-level risk factors of parents are a more promising approach to tackle these ailments in high-prevalent regions than the ones on the children and should be of utmost priority in the North-East region of the country.
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