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Threshold condition and non pharmaceutical interventions's control strategies for elimination of COVID-19
Muhammad Zamir1, Fawad Nadeem1, Thabet Abdeljawad2,3
1Department of Mathematics, University of Science and Technology Bannu, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan.
Abstract:
In this work we focus on the eradication of the COVID-19 infection with the help of almost Non Pharmaceutical Interventions(NPIs), using mathematical modelling. First the basic reproduction number is investigated. Then, on the basis of sensitivity test of , the most active/sensitive parameters are presented in detail. Non Pharmaceutical Interventions(NPIs) are applied to control the sensitive parameters. The major NPIs are, stay home (isolation), sanitizers (wash hands), Treatment of side effects of infection, like throat infection etc and face mask. These NPIs helps in mitigation and reducing the size of outbreak of the disease. Threshold condition for global stability of the disease free state is investigated.The NPI's are used in different ratios to formulate a strategy. The results of these strategies are validated using Matlab software.
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