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Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
MRI- and Histologic-Molecular-Based Radio-Genomics Nomogram for Preoperative Assessment of Risk Classes in
Veronica Celli1, Michele Guerreri2,3,4, Angelina Pernazza5
1Department of Radiological, Oncological and Pathological Sciences, Policlinico Umberto I, Sapienza University of Rome, 00161 Rome, Italy.
Abstract:
High- and low-risk endometrial carcinoma (EC) differ in whether or not a lymphadenectomy is performed. We aimed to develop MRI-based radio-genomic models able to preoperatively assess lymph-vascular space invasion (LVSI) and discriminate between low- and high-risk EC according to the ESMO-ESGO-ESTRO 2020 guidelines, which include molecular risk classification proposed by "ProMisE". This is a retrospective, multicentric study that included 64 women with EC who underwent 3T-MRI before a hysterectomy. Radiomics features were extracted from T2WI images and apparent diffusion coefficient maps (ADC) after manual segmentation of the gross tumor volume. We constructed a multiple logistic regression approach from the most relevant radiomic features to distinguish between low- and high-risk classes under the ESMO-ESGO-ESTRO 2020 guidelines. A similar approach was taken to assess LVSI. Model diagnostic performance was assessed via ROC curves, accuracy, sensitivity and specificity on training and test sets. The LVSI predictive model used a single feature from ADC as a predictor; the risk class model used two features as predictors from both ADC and T2WI. The low-risk predictive model showed an AUC of 0.74 with an accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.74, 0.76, 0.94; the LVSI model showed an AUC of 0.59 with an accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.60, 0.50, 0.61. MRI-based radio-genomic models are useful for preoperative EC risk stratification and may facilitate therapeutic management.
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