Cancer incidence estimates for 2022 & projection for 2025: Result from National Cancer Registry Programme, India

Area of Science:

• Oncology
• Public Health
• Epidemiology

Background:

• Accurate cancer statistics are crucial for effective cancer control planning and evaluation.
• Previous data from the National Cancer Registry Programme Report 2020 (2012-2016) formed the basis for current estimates.

Purpose of the Study:

• To provide updated cancer incidence estimates for India in 2022.
• To analyze cancer incidence by sex, age groups, and anatomical sites.

Main Methods:

• Utilized data from 28 Population-Based Cancer Registries (PBCRs) from 2012-2016.
• Employed Census of India data (2001, 2011) for age-sex stratified population estimations.
• Applied age-specific incidence rates to the estimated population for 2022 case derivation.

Main Results:

• An estimated 1,461,427 new cancer cases in India for 2022 (crude rate: 100.4 per 100,000).
• Lifetime cancer risk is 1 in 9 for Indians.
• Leading cancers: lung (males), breast (females), lymphoid leukemia (children).
• Projected 12.8% increase in cancer incidence by 2025 compared to 2020.

Conclusions:

• Cancer incidence continues to rise in India.
• Updated estimates will aid in planning cancer prevention, early detection, risk reduction, and management interventions.