Course of subthreshold manic symptoms and related risk factors in the general population: A three-year follow-up

Rosalie A L Beekman1, Margreet Ten Have2, Ron de Graaf2

  • 1Altrecht Institute for Mental Health Care, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Bipolar Disorders
|December 14, 2022
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

Subthreshold manic symptoms (subM) are a significant risk factor for bipolar disorder (BD). Over three years, 25% of individuals with subM experienced persistent symptoms, highlighting the need for early intervention.

Area of Science:

  • Psychiatry
  • Clinical Psychology
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Subthreshold manic symptoms (subM) are recognized as a risk factor for the development and recurrence of bipolar disorder (BD).
  • Understanding the prevalence and course of subM is crucial for developing effective preventive interventions.
  • This study investigates the characteristics, longitudinal course, and risk factors associated with an unfavorable outcome in individuals with subM.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the prevalence and characteristics of subthreshold manic symptoms (subM) in a representative population.
  • To prospectively assess the three-year course of subM, including persistence and transition to bipolar disorder (BD).
  • To identify risk factors associated with an unfavorable course of subM.

Main Methods:

  • A population-based sample of 4618 Dutch adults (aged 18-64) was assessed for subM, defined as manic core symptoms without meeting full BD criteria.
  • Participants were categorized into groups with subM, no manic symptoms (noM), or manic symptoms within diagnosed BD (mBD).
  • SubM was further classified as mild or moderate based on symptom count, and a three-year prospective follow-up was conducted.

Main Results:

  • The three-year prevalence of subM was 4.9%, with its characteristics and course falling between noM and mBD groups.
  • During the 3-year follow-up, 25.0% of individuals with subM experienced persistent symptoms, and 6.1% transitioned to mBD.
  • Eleven significant risk factors for an unfavorable course were identified, including a history of depression/dysthymia (OR 3.75), living alone (OR 2.61), and elevated neuroticism (OR 1.21).

Conclusions:

  • Subthreshold manic symptoms (subM) are clinically relevant and may represent a prodromal phase of bipolar disorder (BD).
  • SubM symptoms frequently persist or worsen over time, underscoring the need for clinical attention.
  • Identifying specific risk factors can aid in predicting and managing individuals with subM who are at higher risk for an unfavorable trajectory.

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