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The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)
Kaiming Bi1, Jose Luis Herrera-Diestra1, Yuan Bai2
1The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA.
Epidemics
|December 17, 2022
Abstract:
We estimated the probability of undetected emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in 25 low and middle-income countries (LMICs) prior to December 5, 2021. In nine countries, the risk exceeds 50 %; in Turkey, Pakistan and the Philippines, it exceeds 99 %. Risks are generally lower in the Americas than Europe or Asia.
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