CHA2DS2-VASc score for in-hospital recurrence risk stratification in patients with myocardial infarction
Hui Pang1, Xu Zhu1, Iokfai Cheang1
1Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Insights
The modified CHA2DS2-VASc score better predicts recurrent myocardial infarction (MI) than the standard CHA2DS2-VASc score, especially in men. This finding aids in secondary prevention strategies after MI.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Risk Stratification
- Cardiovascular Research
Background:
- The CHA2DS2-VASc score is established for predicting stroke risk in atrial fibrillation.
- Its predictive value for recurrent myocardial infarction (MI) remains less understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive performance of the CHA2DS2-VASc and modified CHA2DS2-VASc (MCHA2DS2-VASc) scores for recurrent MI.
- To compare the efficacy of these scores in identifying high-risk patients post-MI.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective observational cohort study of adult inpatients with MI.
- Calculation of CHA2DS2-VASc and MCHA2DS2-VASc scores for all patients.
- Logistic regression analysis to assess the association of scores with recurrent MI.
Main Results:
- The study included 6,700 MI patients; 11.3% experienced recurrence.
- Both CHA2DS2-VASc and MCHA2DS2-VASc scores were independently associated with recurrence.
- MCHA2DS2-VASc demonstrated superior predictive value (AUC 0.757 vs. 0.676) over CHA2DS2-VASc for overall recurrence risk, particularly in men.
Conclusions:
- The CHA2DS2-VASc and MCHA2DS2-VASc scores are validated for predicting recurrence post-MI.
- MCHA2DS2-VASc offers enhanced utility for secondary prevention after MI, especially in male patients.
- MCHA2DS2-VASc is more discriminatory for identifying high-risk patients, with specific nuances in women.
Background:
Using the CHA2DS2-VASc score to recognize the risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation has been well-established. However, few studies have assessed whether the CHA2DS2-VASc score has a similar predictive value in recurrence after myocardial infarction (MI).
Methods:
We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study of adult inpatients with MI. The CHA2DS2-VASc and modified CHA2DS2-VASc (MCHA2DS2-VASc) scores of all patients were calculated. The associations of both scores with recurrent MI were analyzed.
Results:
A total of 6,700 patients with MI (60.0 ± 11.1 years, 77.2% men) were enrolled, and 759 (11.3%) presented a definite recurrence during hospitalization. After multivariable adjustment by logistic regression in patients with MI, the CHA2DS2-VASc and MCHA2DS2-VASc scores were independently associated with recurrence. The MCHA2DS2-VASc score showed a better predictive value for risk of recurrence than that of CHA2DS2-VASc in overall [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.757 vs. 0.676] or male patients (AUC 0.759 vs. 0.708). MCHA2DS2-VASc was superior to CHA2DS2-VASc for identifying "truly high-risk" patients with MI, regardless of overall patients or sex-specific subgroups. The two scores had a similar focus on the identification of "low-risk" patients in overall or women, but not in men.
Conclusion:
The CHA2DS2-VASc and MCHA2DS2-VASc scores for predicting recurrence are validated in patients with MI. However, MCHA2DS2-VASc could be more helpful to secondary prevention than CHA2DS2-VASc after MI, especially in men. The superiority of MCHA2DS2-VASc compared with CHA2DS2-VASc in women is just more discriminatory for "truly high-risk" patients.
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