Delayed blastocyst development is influenced by the level of progesterone on the day of trigger

To evaluate the association between progesterone (P) level on the day of trigger and time to blastulation in IVF cycles.

This was a retrospective cohort study with autologous IVF cycles performed at our Institution from January 2019 to December 2021. A total of 1109 IVF cycles were included. The primary outcome was to compare time to blastulation in terms of percentage of expanded (grade 3) blastocysts on day 5 according to progesterone level at trigger.

A total of 3517 blastocysts were analyzed. After dividing progesterone level in quartiles (Q1, P < 0.50 ng/ml; Q2 0.50 ng/ml ≤ P ≤ 0.78 ng/ml; Q3, 0.79 ng/ml ≤ P ≤ 1.15 ng/ml; Q4, P > 1.15 ng/ml), we observed a delay in blastocyst development according to the increasing level of progesterone at trigger (analysis by rank, P-value = 0.01). After adjusting for confounding factors at the multivariate analysis, the percentage of day 5 blastocysts was reduced for Q3 (- 13.8%, 95% CI from - 20.5 to - 7.0%, p < 0.001) and Q4 (- 7.7%, 95% CI from - 15.5 to 0.0%, p = 0.05) compared to Q1 (reference).

Progesterone levels on day of trigger correlate to the percentage of expanded (grade 3) blastocysts on day 5 and a delayed blastocyst development day 5 is expected for high progesterone levels.