Sources of inter-individual variability leading to significant changes in anti-PD-1 and anti-PD-L1 efficacy

Jessica C Leete1,2, Michael G Zager3, Cynthia J Musante4

  • 1Clinical Pharmacology, Early Clinical Development, Pfizer Inc., Cambridge, MA, United States.

Frontiers in Pharmacology
|December 22, 2022
PubMed

Insights

Quantitative systems pharmacology modeling identified key factors influencing anti-PD-(L)1 therapy response variability. Understanding these parameters can help predict patient responses to cancer immunotherapy.

Area of Science:

  • Immunology
  • Pharmacology
  • Computational Biology

Background:

  • Anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (anti-PD-1) and anti-programmed cell death ligand 1 (anti-PD-L1) immunotherapies show variable efficacy across cancer patients.
  • Identifying sources of this response variability is crucial for predicting patient outcomes and optimizing treatment strategies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) model to understand variability in anti-PD-(L)1 treatment response.
  • To identify key biological parameters that influence the efficacy of anti-PD-(L)1 therapies in a preclinical cancer model.

Main Methods:

  • A QSP model was constructed incorporating pharmacokinetics of anti-PD-(L)1 antibodies, CD8+ T cell dynamics, and anti-tumor effects.
  • The model was validated using data from the CT26 tumor syngeneic mouse model.
  • Local sensitivity analysis was performed to identify influential parameters.

Main Results:

  • The QSP model successfully described response variability in anti-PD-(L)1 treatments.
  • Tumor cell proliferation rate, PD-1/PD-L1 expression levels, and PD-1:PD-L1 binding affinity were identified as critical for tumor growth.
  • CD8+ T cell properties, including proliferation and killing rates, and influx into the tumor microenvironment, significantly impacted treatment efficacy.

Conclusions:

  • The QSP model provides a framework for analyzing anti-PD-(L)1 response variability.
  • Key parameters identified can inform strategies for predicting patient response and improving immunotherapy outcomes.
  • This preclinical modeling approach can aid in the translation of findings to human clinical trials.