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Risk Factors of 120-Day Mortality Among Hip Fractures With Concomitant COVID-19 Infection
Nuthan Jagadeesh1, Venkatesh Deva1, Sachindra Kapadi2
1Trauma and Orthopaedics, Wrightington, Wigan and Leigh NHS Foundation Trust, Wigan, GBR.
Insights
Hip fracture patients with COVID-19 have a high mortality rate. Delaying surgery over 36 hours and using internal fixation significantly increases the risk of death within 120 days.
Area of Science:
- Orthopedic Surgery
- Infectious Diseases
- Geriatric Medicine
Background:
- Hip fractures are a major cause of morbidity and mortality globally.
- The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated mortality rates in hip fracture patients.
- Risk factors for mortality in hip fracture patients with COVID-19 remain poorly understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify risk factors associated with increased 120-day mortality in hip fracture patients with COVID-19.
- To analyze demographic, clinical, and surgical variables impacting mortality.
- To determine independent predictors of mortality in this patient cohort.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 70 hip fracture patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection.
- Comparison of demographic, Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and surgical data between survivor and non-survivor groups.
- Multivariate regression analysis to identify independent risk factors for mortality.
Main Results:
- The 120-day mortality rate was 47.1% (33 out of 70 patients).
- Delayed surgery (>36 hours) and internal fixation (e.g., dynamic hip screw, intramedullary nailing) were significantly associated with increased mortality.
- Higher NHFS and CCI were observed in non-survivors but were not independent predictors.
Conclusions:
- Hip fracture patients with COVID-19 face a substantial 120-day mortality risk.
- Delaying surgery beyond 36 hours and opting for internal fixation are independent risk factors for mortality.
- Timely surgical intervention and appropriate surgical technique are crucial for improving outcomes.
Abstract:
Background Hip fractures cause substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide, and the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has only worsened the global burden. Increased 120-day mortality is well established in the literature among hip fractures with COVID-19. However, the risk factors associated with mortality have been poorly understood. We aimed to determine the risk factors associated with increased 120-day mortality among hip fractures with COVID-19. Methods Seventy patients with hip fractures with confirmed COVID-19 infection between March 2020 and December 2021 were included. Thirty-three patients who died within 120 days of admission were allotted to the non-survivor group and the rest 37 patients were allotted to the survivor group. Various parameters such as demographic variables, Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA), Abbreviated Mental Score Test (AMTS), National Early Warning Score (NEWS), fracture type, operation type, and delay in surgery were compared between the groups to determine the risk factors for increased mortality. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to know the independent association with increased mortality. Results A total of 33 patients died within 120 days giving the 120-day mortality rate of 47.1%. Baseline parameters such as ASA, AMTS on admission, NEWS on admission, and type of residence did not significantly affect mortality. The mean NHFS was significantly high in non-survivors (5.38 ± 1.52) compared to survivors (4.40 ± 1.75) (p < 0.001). Similarly, mean CCI was also significantly high in non-survivors (5.58 ± 1.74) compared to survivors (4.76 ± 2.29) (p < 0.001). A total of 70% (seven out of 10) of patients with delayed surgery of more than 36 hours from the admission died within 120 days of admission (p < 0.001). Mortality was significantly higher in patients who underwent internal fixation of fractures like a dynamic hip screw (DHS) or intramedullary (IM) nailing than in those who underwent hemiarthroplasty or total hip arthroplasty (THA). Post-operative parameters such as early mobilization and the multidisciplinary approach to review these patients made no difference to the mortality. Multivariate regression analysis of the parameters that made a significant difference in the mortality showed that delay in surgery and type of surgery (internal fixation) independently increased the mortality among these patients (p < 0.001). However, NHFS and CCI were not independently affecting the mortality among hip fractures with concomitant COVID-19. Conclusion The 120-day mortality rate among patients with hip fractures with concomitant COVID-19 was 47.1%. Delay in surgery of more than 36 hours and patients who underwent internal fixation were independent risk factors associated with increased mortality among these patients.
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