Automated Estimation of Quantitative Lesion Water Uptake as a Prognostic Biomarker for Patients with Ischemic Stroke...

Net water uptake is qualified as an imaging marker of brain edema. We aimed to investigate the ability of net water uptake to predict 90-day functional outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke and large-vessel occlusion.

A total of 295 consecutive patients were retrospectively enrolled. Automated ASPECTS-net water uptake was calculated on the admission CT. The relationship between ASPECTS-net water uptake and 90-day neurologic outcome was assessed. The independent predictors of favorable outcome (mRS score ≤2) were assessed using multivariate logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic curves and stratified by the ASPECTS.

Favorable 90-day outcomes were observed in 156 (52.9%) patients. ASPECTS-net water uptake (OR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.70-0.90), NIHSS scores (OR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.87-0.96), age (OR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.94-0.99), and vessel recanalization (OR, 7.78; 95% CI, 3.96-15.29) were independently associated with favorable outcomes at 90 days (all, P < .01). A lower ASPECTS-net water uptake independently predicted a good prognosis, even in the subgroup of patients with low ASPECTS (≤5) (P < .05). An outcome-prediction model based on these variables yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.856 (95% CI, 0.814-0.899; sensitivity, 76.3%; specificity, 81.3%).

ASPECTS-net water uptake could independently predict 90-day neurologic outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke and large-vessel occlusion. Integrating ASPECTS-net water uptake with clinical models could improve the efficiency of outcome stratification.