Prediction Model for Identifying Factors Associated with Epilepsy in Children with Cerebral Palsy
Carlo Mario Bertoncelli1,2,3, Nathalie Dehan4, Domenico Bertoncelli1,3
1Department of Computer Science, Hal Marcus College of Science & Engineering, University of West Florida, Pensacola, FL 32514, USA.
Insights
Epilepsy is common in children with cerebral palsy (CP). Key risk factors include prenatal causes, spasticity, scoliosis, intellectual disability, and issues with motor function, communication, and feeding.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Pediatrics
- Medical Prediction Modeling
Background:
- Cerebral palsy (CP) is frequently associated with an increased incidence of epileptic seizures.
- Identifying factors contributing to epilepsy in children with CP is crucial for management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify and predict factors associated with epilepsy in children diagnosed with cerebral palsy.
- To implement a prediction model (Epi-PredictMed) for forecasting epilepsy risk in this population.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective longitudinal study of 102 children with CP (ages 12-18) from 2005-2020.
- Data collected included CP etiology, epilepsy type, spasticity, motor function, intellectual disability, communication, and feeding abilities.
- Utilized the Epi-PredictMed prediction model adhering to TRIPOD guidelines.
Main Results:
- CP etiology (prenatal > perinatal > postnatal), scoliosis, communication deficits, feeding disorders, poor motor function, intellectual disabilities, and spasticity type (quadriplegia/triplegia > diplegia > hemiplegia) were significantly associated with epilepsy.
- The Epi-PredictMed model demonstrated an average accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 82%.
Conclusions:
- Prenatal CP etiology, specific types of spasticity, scoliosis, severe intellectual disabilities, impaired motor skills, and communication/feeding disorders are key factors linked to epilepsy in children with CP.
- Awareness of these associated factors is vital for families and caregivers to implement timely preventive and management strategies.
Abstract:
(1) Background: Cerebral palsy (CP) is associated with a higher incidence of epileptic seizures. This study uses a prediction model to identify the factors associated with epilepsy in children with CP. (2) Methods: This is a retrospective longitudinal study of the clinical characteristics of 102 children with CP. In the study, there were 58 males and 44 females, 65 inpatients and 37 outpatients, 72 had epilepsy, and 22 had intractable epilepsy. The mean age was 16.6 ± 1.2 years, and the age range for this study was 12−18 years. Data were collected on the CP etiology, diagnosis, type of epilepsy and spasticity, clinical history, communication abilities, behaviors, intellectual disability, motor function, and feeding abilities from 2005 to 2020. A prediction model, Epi-PredictMed, was implemented to forecast the factors associated with epilepsy. We used the guidelines of “Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis” (TRIPOD). (3) Results: CP etiology [(prenatal > perinatal > postnatal causes) p = 0.036], scoliosis (p = 0.048), communication (p = 0.018), feeding disorders (p = 0.002), poor motor function (p < 0.001), intellectual disabilities (p = 0.007), and the type of spasticity [(quadriplegia/triplegia > diplegia > hemiplegia), p = 0.002)] were associated with having epilepsy. The model scored an average of 82% for accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. (4) Conclusion: Prenatal CP etiology, spasticity, scoliosis, severe intellectual disabilities, poor motor skills, and communication and feeding disorders were associated with epilepsy in children with CP. To implement preventive and/or management measures, caregivers and families of children with CP and epilepsy should be aware of the likelihood that these children will develop these conditions.
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