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Sourcing decisions with loss aversion under yield and demand randomness.

Qingwei Wang1, Meimei Zheng1, Wei Weng2

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Retailers ordering decisions are impacted by yield, demand randomness, and loss aversion. Loss aversion with a fixed reference profit can increase order quantities compared to risk-neutral behavior.

Keywords:
Demand uncertaintyLoss aversionSourcing decisionYield risk

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Area of Science:

  • Operations Research
  • Behavioral Economics
  • Supply Chain Management

Background:

  • Yield and demand randomness are prevalent in retail supply chains.
  • Loss aversion is a key behavioral trait influencing decision-making.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze retailer ordering decisions under yield and demand randomness, incorporating loss aversion.
  • To compare ordering strategies for risk-neutral, loss-averse (zero reference profit), and loss-averse (fixed reference profit) retailers.

Main Methods:

  • Mathematical modeling of retailer ordering decisions.
  • Comparative analysis of optimal order quantities across different decision-maker profiles.
  • Investigation under uniform demand distribution and prospect-dependent reference points.

Main Results:

  • Loss-averse retailers with zero reference profit order less than risk-neutral counterparts.
  • Loss-averse retailers with fixed reference profit may order more than risk-neutral ones if salvage value is high.
  • Order quantity is sensitive to reference profit, loss aversion degree, and supplier reliability.

Conclusions:

  • Loss aversion significantly alters ordering behavior compared to risk neutrality.
  • The nature of the reference point (fixed vs. prospect-dependent) influences ordering strategies.
  • Understanding these behavioral aspects is crucial for optimizing supply chain inventory management.