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[Associations between multimorbidity patterns of 4 chronic diseases and physical activity with all-cause mortality]
1Center of Clinical Big Data and Analytics of the Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou 310003, China.
Insights
Multimorbidity, particularly diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD), significantly increases mortality risk. Regular physical activity, especially at moderate to high intensity, can substantially reduce this risk and extend life expectancy.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Gerontology
Context:
- Multimorbidity, defined as the presence of two or more chronic diseases, is a growing concern in aging populations.
- Prevalence and mortality risks associated with specific multimorbidity patterns remain incompletely understood.
- The impact of lifestyle factors, such as physical activity, on multimorbidity outcomes requires further investigation.
Purpose:
- To determine the prevalence of multimorbidity in a large Chinese cohort.
- To analyze the association between distinct multimorbidity patterns and all-cause mortality.
- To evaluate the effect of exercise on mortality risk and life lost in individuals with and without multimorbidity.
Summary:
- This study identified multimorbidity patterns in 437,408 participants, with an overall prevalence of 8.7%.
- The combination of diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD) presented the highest mortality risk (HR=3.80), with the most complex pattern (hypertension, diabetes, CKD, COPD) showing an HR of 4.75.
- Physical activity attenuated mortality risk, with moderate to high-intensity exercise significantly reducing years of life lost by 3.7 years compared to inactive individuals.
Impact:
- Findings highlight "diabetes + CKD" as a high-mortality multimorbidity pattern, informing targeted public health interventions.
- Physical activity demonstrates a significant protective effect against mortality, regardless of multimorbidity status.
- Exercise intensity is directly correlated with the magnitude of mortality risk reduction, emphasizing the importance of promoting regular and vigorous physical activity.
Abstract:
Objective: To identify the prevalence of multimorbidity among a Chinese population, analyze the risk of all-cause mortality with different multimorbidity patterns, and the impact of exercise on the risk of multimorbidity-related mortality and life lost. Methods: The study was based on 437 408 MJ Health Management Center participants. The classification decision tree was used to explore multimorbidity patterns composed of hypertension, diabetes, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate the all-cause mortality hazard ratio (HR) for different multimorbidity patterns. Using Chiang's life table method, years of life lost were the difference in life expectancy for those with and without multimorbidity. Results: The prevalence rate of multimorbidity was 8.7%. Among multivariate patterns, the most common ones were "hypertension+CKD" (3.6%), "hypertension + diabetes + CKD" (1.1%) and "hypertension+diabetes+CKD+COPD" (0.1%). Compared with a healthy population, patterns with the highest mortality risk were "diabetes+CKD" (HR=3.80, 95%CI: 3.45-4.18), "diabetes+CKD+COPD" (HR=4.34, 95%CI: 3.43-5.49) and "hypertension+ diabetes+CKD+COPD" (HR=4.75,95%CI:4.15-5.43). Through low-intensity and moderate to high-intensity exercise, the increased HRs were attenuatedcompared with the inactive population. People with single disease and multimorbidity shortened life by 4.6 and 13.4 years, while exercise attenuated 2.3 and 4.6 years of life lost, of which low-intensity and moderate to high-intensity exercise saved 1.5 and 3.7 years of life lost due to chronic diseases. Conclusions: Multimorbidity patterns based on "diabetes + CKD" cause the highest mortality risk, and physical activity in reducing mortality was significant for either with or without multimorbidity. Higher exercise intensity leads to a greater relative reduction of mortality risk.
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