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Updated: Aug 16, 2025

Predictive Immune Modeling of Solid Tumors
Published on: February 25, 2020
Predicting response to immune checkpoint blockade in NSCLC with tumour-only RNA-seq
John F Markham1,2,3, Andrew P Fellowes4,5, Thomas Green1,2
1Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, 305 Grattan Street, Parkville, VIC, 3000, Australia.
Background:
Targeted RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) from FFPE specimens is used clinically in cancer for its ability to estimate gene expression and to detect fusions. Using a cohort of NSCLC patients, we sought to determine whether targeted RNA-seq could be used to measure tumour mutational burden (TMB) and the expression of immune-cell-restricted genes from FFPE specimens and whether these could predict response to immune checkpoint blockade.
Methods:
Using The Cancer Genome Atlas LUAD dataset, we developed a method for determining TMB from tumour-only RNA-seq and showed a correlation with DNA sequencing derived TMB calculated from tumour/normal sample pairs (Spearman correlation = 0.79, 95% CI [0.73, 0.83]. We applied this method to targeted sequencing data from our patient cohort and validated these results against TMB estimates obtained using an orthogonal assay (Spearman correlation = 0.49, 95% CI [0.24, 0.68]).
Results:
We observed that the RNA measure of TMB was significantly higher in responders to immune blockade treatment (P = 0.028) and that it was predictive of response (AUC = 0.640 with 95% CI [0.493, 0.786]). By contrast, the expression of immune-cell-restricted genes was uncorrelated with patient outcome.
Conclusion:
TMB calculated from targeted RNA sequencing has a similar diagnostic ability to TMB generated from targeted DNA sequencing.
Insights
Targeted RNA sequencing can effectively measure tumor mutational burden (TMB) in FFPE specimens, predicting response to immune checkpoint blockade in NSCLC patients. This RNA-based TMB offers similar diagnostic ability to DNA-based TMB.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Genomics
- Immunotherapy
Background:
- Targeted RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) from FFPE specimens is clinically used for gene expression and fusion detection in cancer.
- The study investigates RNA-seq's utility for measuring tumor mutational burden (TMB) and immune gene expression from FFPE samples.
- The goal is to assess if these RNA-based markers predict response to immune checkpoint blockade in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if targeted RNA-seq can quantify tumor mutational burden (TMB) from FFPE specimens.
- To evaluate the predictive value of RNA-seq derived TMB and immune-cell-restricted gene expression for immune checkpoint blockade response.
- To compare the diagnostic ability of RNA-seq derived TMB with DNA-based TMB.
Main Methods:
- Developed a method to determine TMB from tumor-only RNA-seq using The Cancer Genome Atlas LUAD dataset, correlating with DNA-sequencing TMB (Spearman r=0.79).
- Applied this method to targeted RNA-seq data from NSCLC patients.
- Validated RNA-seq TMB against an orthogonal assay (Spearman r=0.49).
Main Results:
- RNA-seq derived TMB was significantly higher in responders to immune checkpoint blockade (P=0.028).
- RNA-seq TMB predicted treatment response (AUC=0.640).
- Expression of immune-cell-restricted genes did not correlate with patient outcomes.
Conclusions:
- Tumor mutational burden calculated from targeted RNA sequencing demonstrates comparable diagnostic ability to TMB derived from targeted DNA sequencing.
- Targeted RNA-seq is a viable method for assessing TMB in FFPE samples for predicting immunotherapy response.
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