A novel predictive analytics score reflecting accumulating disease burden-an investigation of the cumulative CoMET...

Predictive analytics tools variably take into account data from the electronic medical record, lab tests, nursing charted vital signs and continuous cardiorespiratory monitoring to deliver an instantaneous prediction of patient risk or instability. Few, if any, of these tools reflect the risk to a patient accumulated over the course of an entire hospital stay.

We have expanded on our instantaneous CoMET predictive analytics score to generate the cumulative CoMET score (cCoMET), which sums all of the instantaneous CoMET scores throughout a hospital admission relative to a baseline expected risk unique to that patient.

We have shown that higher cCoMET scores predict mortality, but not length of stay, and that higher baseline CoMET scores predict higher cCoMET scores at discharge/death. cCoMET scores were higher in males in our cohort, and added information to the final CoMET when it came to the prediction of death.

We have shown that the inclusion of all repeated measures of risk estimation performed throughout a patients hospital stay adds information to instantaneous predictive analytics, and could improve the ability of clinicians to predict deterioration, and improve patient outcomes in so doing.