Prediction of Late Dysplasia Based on Ultrasound and Plain X-Ray at 6 Months

Reba L Salton1, Patrick M Carry1,2, Nancy Hadley-Miller3,2

  • 1Musculoskeletal Research Center.

Insights

Early hip imaging at 6 months can predict developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) in children. Combining ultrasound and x-ray measurements improves prediction accuracy for residual hip dysplasia.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Orthopedics
  • Diagnostic Imaging
  • Developmental Dysplasia of the Hip

Background:

  • Developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) can lead to long-term issues like osteoarthritis.
  • Predicting residual dysplasia at 2 years old is crucial for timely intervention.
  • Early identification of DDH risk factors is essential for optimal patient outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the prognostic value of 6-month imaging modalities for predicting residual hip dysplasia.
  • To identify optimal diagnostic metrics for early detection of DDH.
  • To evaluate the effectiveness of current and proposed imaging cutoffs.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective review of patients treated for DDH with 2-year follow-up.
  • Analysis of 6-month ultrasound (US) and radiograph (x-ray) data, including alpha angle (AA), femoral head coverage (FHC), and acetabular index (AI).
  • Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Youden's index (YI) used to assess prognostic ability and compare diagnostic metrics.

Main Results:

  • At 2 years, 28.8% of patients had acetabular dysplasia.
  • Six-month AA and AI showed better prognostic ability (AUC: 0.80 and 0.79) than FHC (AUC: 0.77).
  • Existing 6-month cutoffs for AA, AI, and FHC had poor predictive value (YI: 0.08, 0.0, 0.06).
  • A composite of proposed cutoffs (AA ≥73°, FHC >62%, AI ≤24°) significantly improved prediction (YI: 0.63).

Conclusions:

  • The rate of residual hip dysplasia remains a concern.
  • Six-month x-ray and US are valuable in managing DDH.
  • A combined assessment of imaging metrics, using proposed cutoffs, maximizes dysplasia prediction.
  • New validated cutoffs (AA ≥73°, FHC >62%, AI ≤24°) are recommended for improved DDH management.
Abstract