Negative Predictive Value and Prognostic Associations of Rb-82 PET/CT with Myocardial Blood Flow in CAV

Invasive coronary angiography (ICA) is the traditional screening modality for cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV). Positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) scan with myocardial blood flow (MBF) quantification has emerged as a potential noninvasive alternative.

The aim of the study was to validate the diagnostic and prognostic value of a previously published algorithm for diagnosing CAV via PET/CT scans with MBF in a larger population. The study also sought to assess the downstream use of ICA when using PET/CT scanning as a screening modality.

Patients with heart transplantation without prior revascularization who underwent PET/CT scans with MBF were identified retrospectively. The accuracy of the algorithm was assessed in patients who underwent PET/CT scanning within 1 year of ICA. The prognostic value was assessed via a composite outcome of heart failure hospitalization, myocardial infarction, retransplantation, and all-cause mortality.

A total of 88 patients for the diagnostic portion and 401 patients for the prognostic portion were included. PET CAV 0 had high negative predictive value for moderate to severe CAV (97%) and PET CAV 2/3 had a high positive predictive value for moderate to severe CAV (68%) by ICA. The cohort was followed for a median of 1.2 (IQR: 1.0-1.8) years with 46 patients having an adverse event. The annualized event rates were 6.9%, 9.3%, and 30.8% for PET CAV 0, 1, and 2/3, respectively (P < 0.001).

An algorithm using PET/CT scanning with MBF demonstrates high a negative predictive value for CAV. PET CAV 2/3 is associated with a higher risk of adverse events and need for revascularization. PET/CT scanning with MBF is a reasonable alternative to ICA for screening for CAV.