Sources and sequestration rate of organic carbon in sediments of the bare tidal flat ecosystems: A model approach

Humans have been contributing adversely to greenhouse gas emissions by generating a vast amount of CO₂, primarily causing climate change. Nature-based climate solutions, consisting of both terrestrial and marine ecosystems, are tremendous potential for sequestering and storing significant amounts of carbon, which can help to slow the progression of climate change. In this study, we use a carbon balance model to simulate the carbon sequestration rate and carbon stored in bare tidal flat (BTF) areas along Korea's west and south coasts from 2018 to 2050. Furthermore, the percentage of potential carbon sources deposited at BTF sites was calculated using a two-terminal mixing model and δ¹³C data. The carbon deposited on the BTF areas is the result of lateral carbon transport from upslope terrestrial regions as well as marine sources. Based on the δ¹³C isotope, this study classified potential carbon sources in BTFs sediment into two categories: terrestrial and marine. The results indicate that the proportion of organic carbon contribution from terrestrial sources ranged from 7.63% to 49% in the BTF studied areas. We discuss the validity of projection which was investigated over three years, from 2018 to 2020. A preliminary conclusion is that future carbon storage at BTF sites will increase significantly. Carbon accumulation increases linearly over time in nearly all areas studied, with carbon sequestration rates ranging from 0.053 to 0.623 (MgC ha^-1 yr^-1). This study found that a significant amount of carbon is sequestered for a long time in the BTF regions based on model simulation results. In addition, it also contributes to projects that seek to promote and conserve these climate benefits by providing estimates of carbon storage in coastal BTFs that can be included in NDCs for the Paris Agreement.