Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Is Independently Associated With Higher All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality

The prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing globally. We assessed independent associations of NAFLD with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in older community-dwelling adults in the United States.

Data from the Rancho Bernardo Study cohort, who participated in the research from 1992 to 1996 with mortality data (followed up to July 2019), were analyzed. NAFLD was determined by the improved Fatty Liver Index for the multiethnic US population in the absence of secondary causes of liver disease. Hazard ratios (HRs), 95% CIs, and population-attributable fractions of risk factors on mortality were calculated. Competing-risk analyses of cause-specific mortality were performed.

Of the 1523 eligible participants (mean age, 71.8 y; 39.9% male; 99.3% non-Hispanic White; and 10.7% obese), 404 (26.4%) had NAFLD. During 23,311 person-years of follow-up evaluation (mean, 15.22 y; SD, 8.41 y), among NAFLD and non-NAFLD, there were 296 and 717 deaths from all causes, 113 and 263 cardiac deaths, 62 and 112 cancer deaths, and 6 and 2 liver deaths, respectively. NAFLD had a 26% higher all-cause mortality (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.08-1.47) and a 33% (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.04-1.70) and 55% (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.11-2.15) higher cardiac and cancer mortality, respectively, than non-NAFLD. Population-attributable fractions showed 13.9% of deaths, 6.2% of cardiac deaths, and 12.1% of cancer deaths were attributable to NAFLD after adjustments of risk factors (sedentary lifestyle, obesity, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes).

NAFLD is associated independently with all-cause, cardiac, and cancer mortality. Efforts must continue to raise awareness about NAFLD and develop care pathways and public health efforts to reduce NAFLD burden and associated mortality.