Time trends, projections, and spatial distribution of low birthweight in Australia, 2009-2030: Evidence from the

M Mamun Huda1,2, Leonie K Callaway3,4, Greg Jackson5,6

  • 1Poche Centre for Indigenous Health, The University of Queensland, Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.

Birth (Berkeley, Calif.)
|January 25, 2023
PubMed

Insights

Low birthweight (LBW) prevalence increased in Australia from 2009-2019, with higher rates among disadvantaged groups. Projections indicate continued rise, jeopardizing Sustainable Development Goals for infant health.

Area of Science:

  • Public Health
  • Epidemiology
  • Perinatal Health

Background:

  • Infant low birthweight (LBW) rates have risen globally in high-resource nations.
  • LBW is a critical indicator of perinatal and infant health outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze time trends, spatial distribution, and future projections of LBW in Australia (2009-2030).
  • To identify subpopulations with increasing LBW prevalence.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized Australian National Perinatal Data Collection (2009-2019) for over 3.3 million births.
  • Employed Bayesian linear regression to estimate LBW prevalence trends and Average Annual Rate of Change (AARC).

Main Results:

  • LBW prevalence rose from 6.18% (2009) to 6.64% (2019), an AARC of +0.76%.
  • Projected increase to 7.34% by 2030 if trends persist.
  • Significant increases observed in non-Indigenous mothers, most disadvantaged groups, teenagers, older mothers, and smokers.
  • Higher LBW prevalence noted in specific areas of Northern Territory and Queensland.

Conclusions:

  • LBW prevalence is increasing in Australia, with disparities across subpopulations.
  • Current trends hinder achievement of Sustainable Development Goals for reducing LBW.
  • Targeted support for vulnerable groups is crucial for improving perinatal health and meeting SDG targets.
Abstract

Related Concept Videos

Population Growth Patterns01:20

Population Growth Patterns

Population Growth PatternsPopulation growth patterns show how the size of a group of living things changes over time. These patterns can increase, decrease, or stay the same depending on different factors. When birth rates exceed death rates, the population increases as more individuals are born than die. If more die than are born, the population shrinks. Other important factors include food, water, and space availability, and whether the environment is safe and healthy. Changes in weather,...
2
Applications of Life Tables01:22

Applications of Life Tables

Life tables are versatile across various fields, providing a quantitative basis for analyzing mortality and survival rates. Whether used by demographers, actuaries, epidemiologists, or sociologists, life tables offer valuable insights into the dynamics of life and death, facilitating informed decisions in public health, insurance, conservation, and beyond. Their broad applicability highlights the interconnectedness of demographic data with practical outcomes in everyday life and strategic...
102
Regression Toward the Mean01:52

Regression Toward the Mean

Regression toward the mean (“RTM”) is a phenomenon in which extremely high or low values—for example, and individual’s blood pressure at a particular moment—appear closer to a group’s average upon remeasuring. Although this statistical peculiarity is the result of random error and chance, it has been problematic across various medical, scientific, financial and psychological applications. In particular, RTM, if not taken into account, can interfere when...
6.3K
Population Growth00:57

Population Growth

Population size is dynamic, increasing with birth rates and immigration, and decreasing with death rates and emigration. In ideal conditions with unlimited resources, populations can increase exponentially, which plots as a J-shaped growth rate curve of population size against time. This type of curve is characteristic of newly-introduced invasive species, or populations that have suffered catastrophic declines and are rebounding.
25.6K
Current Trends in Nursing II01:30

Current Trends in Nursing II

Trends in nursing are multifactorial and associated with changes in society, within the nursing profession, and in other professions. Notably, telehealth and remote nursing contribute to successful healthcare delivery for numerous patients and help reduce stress for nurses due to nursing shortages. Nurses can reach patients, monitor their conditions, and interact with them using computers, audio, visual accessories, and telephones—for example, remote patient monitoring systems. Likewise,...
1.3K
Conservation of Declining Populations02:07

Conservation of Declining Populations

Conservation of declining population focuses on ways of detecting, diagnosing, and halting a population decline. The approach uses methods to prevent populations from going extinct.
9.7K