Recidivism in a cohort of young Australian drinking-drivers

Four hundred and sixty-three men aged 18-25 years were referred to a counselling programme in 1975-1977, after their first conviction for an alcohol-related traffic offence. Records of the Victoria Police, and those of the Motor Registration Board, were searched for subsequent alcohol-related traffic offences up to February 1984. Those subjects who had left the State of Victoria or had died were identified, and a "survival" curve was constructed where survival implied freedom from reconviction for an alcohol-related traffic offence. By means of Cox's proportional hazards model, the rate ratios of a number of predictor variables of recidivism were calculated; those of significance were the number of drinks per week, social class, and a history of "family troubles with drinking". Reduction of alcohol consumption may be a more appropriate goal in programmes that are concerned with the counselling of young drinking-drivers than is attempted modification of the drinking-driving nexus.