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Published on: September 6, 2017
Prolonged requirements for mechanical ventilation and tube feeding support predicted 18-month outcomes for neonatal
Kennosuke Tsuda1, Jun Shibasaki2, Akihito Takeuchi3
1Center for Human Development and Family Science, Department of Neonatology and Pediatrics, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Aichi, Japan.
Insights
Prolonged mechanical ventilation or tube feeding support for over 14 days can predict 18-month outcomes in infants with hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy who received therapeutic hypothermia.
Area of Science:
- Neonatalogy
- Pediatric Neurology
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE) is a major cause of neonatal mortality and long-term neurological disability.
- Therapeutic hypothermia is a standard treatment for HIE, but predicting long-term outcomes remains challenging.
- Identifying reliable predictors of adverse outcomes is crucial for optimizing infant care and parental counseling.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive ability of prolonged mechanical ventilation or tube feeding support for 18-month composite outcomes in infants with HIE treated with hypothermia.
- To determine the utility of specific durations of mechanical ventilation or tube feeding in predicting adverse outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective, nationwide, observational study using data from Japan's Baby Cooling Registry (2012-2016).
- Inclusion of newborn infants with HIE treated with therapeutic hypothermia.
- Definition of adverse outcomes as death or survival with cerebral palsy, visual/auditory impairment, or need for mechanical ventilation/tube feeding at 18 months.
Main Results:
- Adverse outcomes occurred in 28% of the 591 infants studied.
- Prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation or tube feeding for >7 days had a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.34 (95% CI 0.33-0.34).
- Dependence for >14 days showed a higher PPV of 0.60 (95% CI 0.56-0.62) and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81 (95% CI 0.77-0.85) for predicting 18-month outcomes.
Conclusions:
- Prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation or tube feeding for more than 14 days is a useful predictor of 18-month outcomes in HIE infants treated with therapeutic hypothermia.
- This finding can aid in risk stratification and clinical decision-making for HIE management.
- Further research may explore combining this predictor with other clinical or neuroimaging markers for enhanced predictive accuracy.
Aim:
We evaluated the predictive ability of prolonged requirements for mechanical ventilation or tube feeding support for 18-month composite outcomes in infants with hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy treated with hypothermia.
Methods:
This retrospective, nationwide, observational study focused on newborn infants registered in Japan's Baby Cooling Registry between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2016. The adverse outcomes were defined as death or survival with cerebral palsy, visual or auditory impairment or the requirement for mechanical ventilation or tube feeding at 18 months of age.
Results:
Adverse outcomes occurred in 165 (28%) of the 591 children in the final cohort. These were predicted by prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation or tube feeding for more than seven and more than 14 days. The respective values were positive predictive value 0.34 (95% CI 0.33-0.34) and 0.60 (95% CI 0.56-0.62), negative predictive value 0.97 (95% CI 0.91-0.99) and 0.93 (95% CI 0.90-0.95) and area under the curve 0.59 (95% CI 0.54-0.64) and 0.81 (95% CI 0.77-0.85).
Conclusion:
Prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation or tube feeding for more than 14 days may be useful in predicting 18-month outcomes in newborn infants who have received therapeutic hypothermia.
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