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Published on: August 9, 2024
Risk score for coronary heart disease (CHD-RISK) and hemodynamically significant aortic valve stenosis
Odong Christopher1, Zhenyu Xiong1, Yiquan Huang1
1Cardiology Department, First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, China; NHC Key Laboratory of Assisted Circulation Sun Yat-Sen University, China.
Insights
Coronary heart disease risk scores (CHD-RISK) can predict aortic stenosis (AS) risk. Higher CHD-RISK is associated with increased AS incidence, particularly in females and smokers.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Investigating the link between coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors and aortic stenosis (AS).
- Limited research exists on the predictive value of CHD risk scores for AS.
- The applicability of CHD risk scores (CHD-RISK) for forecasting AS is unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the association between CHD-RISK and the incidence of AS.
- To evaluate if CHD-RISK can be utilized as a predictor for AS development.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 4791 participants followed from 1990-1992 to 2013.
- CHD-RISK was calculated, and AS was identified via Doppler echocardiography.
- Multivariate logistic regression models were employed to assess the association between CHD-RISK and AS.
Main Results:
- A 6% increase in CHD-RISK was associated with a 1.194 odds ratio (OR) for AS (p=0.002).
- Higher quintiles of CHD-RISK showed significantly increased AS risk, with the highest quintile (>9.21%) having an OR of 2.66 (p<0.001).
- AS incidence was higher in females, individuals aged ≥55, current smokers, and those with BMI ≥30 kg/m².
Conclusions:
- CHD-RISK is significantly associated with AS.
- CHD-RISK may serve as a valuable tool for predicting AS risk, similar to its role in CHD.
- Identifying high-risk subgroups (females, smokers, older adults, obese individuals) is crucial for targeted AS management and treatment strategies.
Background And Aim:
Multiple studies have investigated the association between coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors and aortic valve stenosis (AS). However, limited studies have explored the relationship between CHD risk scores and AS. Whether incident risk scores for coronary heart disease (CHD-RISK) may be applied to predict AS remains unclear. We aim to investigate the association between AS and CHD-RISK.
Methods And Results:
We included 4791 participants (age 54.6 ± 5.0 yrs, 58.7% women, 81% were of European origin), and CHD-RISK was estimated in 1990-1992. The participants were then followed-up until December 31, 2013. The primary outcome was hemodynamic significant AS identified by Doppler echocardiography in 2011-2013. We used multivariate-logistic regression models to assess the associations between CHD-RISK and AS. During follow-up, 963 (20.1%) cases of AS were identified. Per-standard deviation (6%) increase in CHD-RISK was associated with OR 95% Cl [1.194, 95% CI 1.068 to 1.335, p = 0.002] risk of AS in the fully adjusted models. Results were similar when stratified by quintiles of CHD-RISK, using the lowest quintiles <0.94% of CHD-RISK as the reference, 0.94%-2.26%, 2.26%-4.83%, 4.83%-9.21%, and >9.21% were; 1.33 (95% CI, 0.99-1.78, p = 0.055), 1.64 (95% CI, 1.17-2.29, p = 0.004), 2.23 (95% CI, 1.49-3.32, p = <0.001), 2.66 (95% CI, 1.65-4.31, p = <0.001) respectively.
Conclusions:
CHD-RISK was associated with AS. CHD-RISK and AS were high in females, age ≥55 yrs, current smokers, and BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2. This investigation suggests CHD-RISK may be applied to forecast AS risk similar to CHD. Future studies are required to detect, manage, and establish better treatment strategies in these high-risk subgroups.
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