The Nimble Stage 1 Study Validates Diagnostic Circulating Biomarkers for Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis

Background There are no approved noninvasive tests (NIT) for the diagnosis of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and its histological phenotypes. Methods The FNIH-NIMBLE consortium tested 5 serum-based NIT panels for the following intended uses: NIS4: At-risk NASH, a composite of NASH with NAFLD activity score (NAS) ≥ 4 and fibrosis stage ≥ 2, OWLiver: NASH and NAS ≥ 4, enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF), PROC3 and Fibrometer VCTE: fibrosis stages ≥ 2, ≥ 3 or 4. Aliquots from a single blood sample obtained within 90 days of histological confirmation of NAFLD were tested. The prespecified performance metric tested for was a diagnostic AUROC greater than 0.7 and superiority to ALT for diagnosis of NASH or NAS ≥ 4 and to FIB-4 for fibrosis. Results A total of 1073 adults including NASH (n = 848), at-risk NASH (n = 539) and fibrosis stages 0-4 (n = 222, 114, 262, 277 and 198 respectively) were studied. The AUROC of NIS4 for at-risk NASH was 0.81 and superior to ALT and FIB4 (p < 0.001 for both). OWliver diagnosed NASH with sensitivity and specificity of 77.3% and 66.8% respectively. The AUROCs (95% CI) of ELF, PROC3 and Fibrometer VCTE respectively for fibrosis were as follows: ≥ stage 2 fibrosis [0.82 (0.8-0.85), 0.8 (0.77-0.83), and 0.84 (0.79-0.88)], ≥ stage 3 [0.83 (0.8-0.86), 0.76 (0.73-0.79), 0.85 (0.81-0.9), stage 4 [0.85 (0.81-0.89), 0.81 (0.77-0.85), 0.89 (0.84-0.95)]. ELF and Fibrometer VCTE were significantly superior to FIB-4 for all fibrosis endpoints (p < 0.01 for all). Conclusions These data support the further development of NIS4, ELF and Fibrometer VCTE for their intended uses.