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Vegetation resilience is higher with more water availability but decreases with greater inter-annual precipitation variability. This highlights risks to ecosystems from climate change.

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Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Climate Science
  • Remote Sensing

Background:

  • Quantifying ecosystem resilience is crucial for understanding climate change impacts.
  • Water availability and variability are key factors influencing ecosystem stability.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the global relationship between water availability/variability and vegetation resilience.
  • To assess how different timescales of precipitation variability affect ecosystem resilience.

Main Methods:

  • Application of empirical and theoretical resilience metrics.
  • Analysis of remotely-sensed vegetation data.
  • Global-scale statistical analysis of water variables and resilience.

Main Results:

  • A positive correlation was found between water availability and vegetation resilience globally.
  • Increased inter-annual precipitation variability was associated with lower vegetation resilience.
  • The relationship between intra-annual precipitation variability and resilience was less consistent.

Conclusions:

  • Vegetation resilience is significantly influenced by water availability and its variability across different timescales.
  • Projected increases in precipitation variability pose a risk to ecosystem stability and may lead to degradation.
  • Findings underscore the importance of water dynamics in predicting ecosystem responses to climate change.