Predictive Factors for the Complications of Dengue Fever in Children: A Retrospective Analysis

Background and objective Dengue fever (DF) and its complications - dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and dengue shock syndrome (DSS) - are major public health problems in Southeast Asia. Predicting the development of DHF and DSS using hematological parameters and ultrasonic signs of vascular leakage will help in reducing morbidity and mortality associated with these diseases. Hence, this study aimed to test the association of platelets and packed cell volume (PCV) on day one (D1) of admission with gallbladder wall thickness (GWT) and ascites, which herald the onset of DHF and DSS. Methods The electronic health records of 52 pediatric patients admitted during a mini-outbreak were analyzed to assess platelets and PCV on D1, laboratory and ultrasonography findings, and outcomes. Correlations between D1 hematological parameters and GWT and ascites were tested. Results There was a positive correlation between GWT of more than 5 mm and ascites. However, there was no significant correlation of platelets and PCV on D1 with either GWT or ascites and consequently DHF or DSS. All the patients responded to fluid, blood, and supportive therapy. There were no mortalities. Conclusion Patients who develop GWT after DF are at an increased risk of developing ascites that deteriorate to DHF and DSS. D1 platelets and PCV are not reliable indicators for predicting the progression or worsening of the disease in the pediatric population.