Bariatric Surgery and Incident Heart Failure: a Propensity Score Matched Nationwide Cohort Study

Bariatric surgery results in significant weight loss and a reduction in the incidence of cardiovascular disease in patients with obesity; however, relatively little research considers its effect on the incidence of heart failure (HF). We aimed to determine whether bariatric surgery reduces the incidence of HF in patients with obesity, compared to non-surgical management.

A propensity-score matched, retrospective cohort study using patients records from the nationwide Clinical Practice Research Database (CPRD) was conducted. 3052 patients who received bariatric surgery were matched with 3052 patients who did not, according to propensity to receive bariatric surgery, determined through a logistic regression model. Patients were eligible if >18 years old, BMI > 35 kg/m², and no prior diagnosis of HF. The pre-defined primary endpoint was the development of new HF, and secondary endpoints were all-cause mortality and hospitalisations due to HF.

Patients who received bariatric surgery had a significantly lower incidence of new HF (hazard ratio 0.45, 95% confidence interval 0.28-0.73, p = 0.0011) and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 0.56, 95% confidence interval 0.38-0.83, p = 0.0036).

This study provides evidence of lower rates of HF and all-cause mortality in patients who undergo bariatric surgery, compared to propensity-score matched controls. Future studies to understand the mechanism(s) involved in this reduction and explore the lifetime benefits in high-risk cohorts are paramount.