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Identification of stage I/II melanoma patients at high risk for recurrence using a model combining clinicopathologic
Teresa Amaral1, Tobias Sinnberg1, Eftychia Chatziioannou2
1Center for Dermatooncology, Eberhard Karls University of Tuebingen, Germany; Cluster of Excellence IFIT (EXC 2180), Tuebingen, Germany.
Purpose:
Patients with cutaneous melanoma stage I/IIA disease are currently not eligible for adjuvant therapy, despite their risk for relapses and death. This study validates the ability of a model combining clinicopathologic factors with gene expression profiling (CP-GEP) to identify patients at high risk for disease recurrence in stage I/II and subgroup stage I/IIA.
Patients And Methods:
543 patients with stage I/II primary cutaneous melanoma from the University of Tuebingen diagnosed between 2000 and 2017 were analysed. All patients received sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB). Analysis was conducted for a separate group of 80 patients who did not undergo SLNB.
Results:
CP-GEP stratified 424 stage I/IIA patients (78% of the cohort) according to their risk for recurrence, with five-year relapse-free survival (RFS) rates of 77.8% and 93% for CP-GEP high risk (195 patients) and low risk (229 patients), respectively, and hazard ratio of 3.53 (p-value <0.001). In patients who did not receive SLNB biopsy, CP-GEP captured 6 out of 7 relapses.
Conclusion:
CP-GEP can be used to identify primary cutaneous melanoma patients with a high risk for disease recurrence - especially for stage I/IIA, who are considered low risk by AJCC 8th. These patients may benefit from adjuvant therapy. Also, in the future, when SLNB may become irrelevant, CP-GEP may serve as a risk stratification tool.
