Related Experiment Video
Updated: Aug 10, 2025

Constructing and Visualizing Models using Mime-based Machine-learning Framework
Published on: July 22, 2025
Uncertain-CAM: Uncertainty-Based Ensemble Machine Voting for Improved COVID-19 CXR Classification and Explainability
Waleed Aldhahi1, Sanghoon Sull1
1School of Electrical Engineering, Korea University, 145 Anam-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea.
Insights
This study introduces a novel deep learning method for accurate COVID-19 detection from chest X-rays, achieving 99% accuracy. It enhances model explainability and reliability for critical medical applications.
Area of Science:
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
- Medical Imaging Analysis
- Deep Learning for Diagnostics
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic necessitates rapid and accurate diagnostic tools.
- Distinguishing COVID-19 from other respiratory infections like pneumonia is challenging.
- Explainability of deep learning models is crucial for clinical adoption.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a highly accurate deep learning model for COVID-19 classification from chest X-rays.
- To enhance the explainability and reliability of AI-driven medical diagnostics.
- To address the cost and early detection challenges in pandemic management.
Main Methods:
- Training deep learning models with an uncertainty-based ensemble voting policy.
- Integrating cyclic cosine annealing, cross-validation, and uncertainty quantification (PICP) for model training.
- Proposing the Uncertain-CAM technique for improved deep learning explainability.
Main Results:
- Achieved 99% accuracy in classifying COVID-19 chest X-rays against normal and pneumonia cases.
- Demonstrated enhanced explainability using the novel Uncertain-CAM technique.
- Validated a new image processing method for explainability measurement.
Conclusions:
- The proposed method offers a reliable and accurate AI solution for COVID-19 detection.
- Enhanced explainability through Uncertain-CAM increases trust in AI diagnostic systems.
- This approach can aid in cost-effective and early identification of COVID-19 patients.
Abstract:
The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a significant impact on patients and healthcare systems across the world. Distinguishing non-COVID-19 patients from COVID-19 patients at the lowest possible cost and in the earliest stages of the disease is a major issue. Additionally, the implementation of explainable deep learning decisions is another issue, especially in critical fields such as medicine. The study presents a method to train deep learning models and apply an uncertainty-based ensemble voting policy to achieve 99% accuracy in classifying COVID-19 chest X-rays from normal and pneumonia-related infections. We further present a training scheme that integrates the cyclic cosine annealing approach with cross-validation and uncertainty quantification that is measured using prediction interval coverage probability (PICP) as final ensemble voting weights. We also propose the Uncertain-CAM technique, which improves deep learning explainability and provides a more reliable COVID-19 classification system. We introduce a new image processing technique to measure the explainability based on ground-truth, and we compared it with the widely adopted Grad-CAM method.
Related Concept Videos
Uncertainty: Overview
Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals
Classification of Illness
An illness is a response to a disease in which the person's level of functioning is changed compared with a previous level. The general classification of illness includes acute and chronic.
Acute illness is severe...
Sensitivity, Specificity, and Predicted Value
Sensitivity is the...
Propagation of Uncertainty from Systematic Error
Prediction Intervals
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.

