Probabilistic buckling of imperfect hemispherical shells containing a distribution of defects

The buckling of spherical shells is plagued by a strong sensitivity to imperfections. Traditionally, imperfect shells tend to be characterized empirically by the knockdown factor, the ratio between the measured buckling strength and the corresponding classic prediction for a perfect shell. Recently, it has been demonstrated that the knockdown factor of a shell containing a single imperfection can be predicted when there is detailed a priori knowledge of the defect geometry. Still, addressing the analogous problem for a shell containing many defects remains an open question. Here, we use finite element simulations, which we validate against precision experiments, to investigate hemispherical shells containing a well-defined distribution of imperfections. Our goal is to characterize the resulting knockdown factor statistics. First, we study the buckling of shells containing only two defects, uncovering non-trivial regimes of interactions that echo existing findings for cylindrical shells. Then, we construct statistical ensembles of imperfect shells, whose defect amplitudes are sampled from a lognormal distribution. We find that a 3-parameter Weibull distribution is an excellent description for the measured statistics of knockdown factors, suggesting that shell buckling can be regarded as an extreme-value statistics phenomenon. This article is part of the theme issue 'Probing and dynamics of shock sensitive shells'.