From cause and effect to causes and effects

Joachim P Sturmberg1,2, James A Marcum3

  • 1School of Medicine and Public Health, Faculty of Health and Medicine, University of Newcastle, Holgate, New South Wales, Australia.

Insights

Most health outcomes stem from multiple interacting causes, not single factors. Embracing a "causes and effects" research approach is crucial for understanding complex health issues and developing personalized interventions.

Area of Science:

  • Medical research methodology
  • Systems science in health
  • Clinical research design

Background:

  • Most health outcomes are influenced by multiple interacting causes.
  • Traditional medical research often uses binary, single-cause study designs.
  • The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic highlighted the need for systemic approaches to complex health challenges.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To advocate for a shift from "cause and effect" to "causes and effects" in research.
  • To emphasize the limitations of reductionist thinking in understanding health and disease.
  • To promote the adoption of systemic research designs for complex health problems.

Main Methods:

  • Critique of traditional dichotomous research methodologies.
  • Proposal of a "causes and effects" framework.
  • Highlighting the need for research designs accommodating one-to-one, one-to-many, many-to-one, and many-to-many relationships.

Main Results:

  • One-to-one relationships suit traditional randomized control trials.
  • Complex relationships (one-to-many, many-to-one, many-to-many) require systemic research designs.
  • Systemic methodologies explain clinical outcome heterogeneity.

Conclusions:

  • A paradigm shift to "causes and effects" is necessary for modern medical research.
  • Embracing systemic research designs will improve understanding of health and disease variability.
  • This shift facilitates personalized interventions and advances health equity.

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