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Updated: Aug 10, 2025

Task Interruption and Resumption Paradigm for Testing the Activation and Pursuit of an Abstract Thinking Goal
Published on: April 18, 2017
From cause and effect to causes and effects
Joachim P Sturmberg1,2, James A Marcum3
1School of Medicine and Public Health, Faculty of Health and Medicine, University of Newcastle, Holgate, New South Wales, Australia.
Insights
Most health outcomes stem from multiple interacting causes, not single factors. Embracing a "causes and effects" research approach is crucial for understanding complex health issues and developing personalized interventions.
Area of Science:
- Medical research methodology
- Systems science in health
- Clinical research design
Background:
- Most health outcomes are influenced by multiple interacting causes.
- Traditional medical research often uses binary, single-cause study designs.
- The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic highlighted the need for systemic approaches to complex health challenges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To advocate for a shift from "cause and effect" to "causes and effects" in research.
- To emphasize the limitations of reductionist thinking in understanding health and disease.
- To promote the adoption of systemic research designs for complex health problems.
Main Methods:
- Critique of traditional dichotomous research methodologies.
- Proposal of a "causes and effects" framework.
- Highlighting the need for research designs accommodating one-to-one, one-to-many, many-to-one, and many-to-many relationships.
Main Results:
- One-to-one relationships suit traditional randomized control trials.
- Complex relationships (one-to-many, many-to-one, many-to-many) require systemic research designs.
- Systemic methodologies explain clinical outcome heterogeneity.
Conclusions:
- A paradigm shift to "causes and effects" is necessary for modern medical research.
- Embracing systemic research designs will improve understanding of health and disease variability.
- This shift facilitates personalized interventions and advances health equity.
Abstract:
It is now-at least loosely-acknowledged that most health and clinical outcomes are influenced by different interacting causes. Surprisingly, medical research studies are nearly universally designed to study-usually in a binary way-the effect of a single cause. Recent experiences during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic brought to the forefront that most of our challenges in medicine and healthcare deal with systemic, that is, interdependent and interconnected problems. Understanding these problems defy simplistic dichotomous research methodologies. These insights demand a shift in our thinking from 'cause and effect' to 'causes and effects' since this transcends the classical way of Cartesian reductionist thinking. We require a shift to a 'causes and effects' frame so we can choose the research methodology that reflects the relationships between variables of interest-one-to-one, one-to-many, many-to-one or many-to-many. One-to-one (or cause and effect) relationships are amenable to the traditional randomized control trial design, while all others require systemic designs to understand 'causes and effects'. Researchers urgently need to re-evaluate their science models and embrace research designs that allow an exploration of the clinically obvious multiple 'causes and effects' on health and disease. Clinical examples highlight the application of various systemic research methodologies and demonstrate how 'causes and effects' explain the heterogeneity of clinical outcomes. This shift in scientific thinking will allow us to find the necessary personalized or precise clinical interventions that address the underlying reasons for the variability of clinical outcomes and will contribute to greater health equity.
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