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Bayes factor functions for reporting outcomes of hypothesis tests.
Valen E Johnson1, Sandipan Pramanik1, Rachael Shudde1
1Department of Statistics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-3143.
Bayes factor functions (BFFs) offer a superior alternative to P-values for hypothesis testing, providing direct evidence for competing hypotheses without arbitrary significance thresholds. These functions are easily computed from standard statistics and aggregated across studies.
Area of Science:
- Statistical inference
- Hypothesis testing
Background:
- P-values are widely used but have limitations in hypothesis testing.
- Bayes factors offer a direct measure of evidence for competing hypotheses.
- Calculating Bayes factors can be challenging, especially in high-dimensional settings.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce Bayes factor functions (BFFs) as a practical alternative to P-values.
- To simplify Bayes factor computation and interpretation in hypothesis testing.
- To provide informative summaries of hypothesis tests that can be aggregated across studies.
Main Methods:
- Defined BFFs directly from common test statistics (z, t, χ², F).
- Expressed BFFs as a function of a single noncentrality parameter related to standardized effect sizes.
- Utilized nonlocal alternative prior densities for efficient evidence accumulation.
Main Results:
- BFFs can be computed easily in closed form from standard test statistics.
- Plots of BFFs versus effect size offer informative, aggregable summaries of hypothesis tests.
- BFFs eliminate the need for arbitrary P-value thresholds for statistical significance.
Conclusions:
- BFFs provide a robust and interpretable alternative to P-values for hypothesis testing.
- BFFs facilitate the aggregation of evidence across studies, moving beyond significance thresholds.
- The proposed method simplifies Bayes factor computation and enhances statistical reporting.
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