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Prognostic Prediction of Cancer Based on Radiomics Features of Diagnostic Imaging: The Performance of Machine
Fuk-Hay Tang1, Cheng Xue2, Maria Yy Law3
1School of Medical and Health Sciences, Tung Wah College, Hong Kong, China.
Machine learning models, particularly Random Forest and Boosted Trees, accurately predict cancer prognosis using radiomics features from CT scans. These methods offer valuable insights for treatment strategies in non-small cell lung carcinoma.
Area of Science:
- Radiomics and Medical Imaging
- Machine Learning in Oncology
- Cancer Prognostics
Background:
- Tumor phenotypes are characterized by radiomics features from medical images.
- Accurate prediction of cancer prognosis is challenged by small sample sizes and data imbalance.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate machine learning strategies for predicting cancer prognosis.
- To assess the performance of various algorithms using radiomics features.
Main Methods:
- Radiomics features were extracted from CT images of 422 non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) patients.
- Six machine learning methods (DT, BT, RF, SVM, GLM, DL-ANNs) were applied with 70:30 cross-validation.
- Performance was evaluated based on survival endpoints at 1, 3, 5, and 7 years.
Main Results:
- Random Forest (RF) achieved the highest AUC (0.938), followed by Boosted Trees (BT) (0.912).
- Traditional machine learning methods like RF and BT outperformed Deep Learning Artificial Neural Networks (DL-ANNs).
- DL-ANNs did not show a significant advantage over traditional methods for prognostic prediction.
Conclusions:
- Radiomics combined with machine learning, especially RF and BT, provides accurate cancer outcome prediction.
- These findings support radiomics as a valuable tool for informing cancer treatment strategies.
- Machine learning models offer a supportive reference for personalized cancer care planning.
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