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Effect of convalescent plasma transfusion on outcomes of coronavirus disease 2019: a meta-analysis with trial
Sameh M Hakim1, Ghosoun M A Chikhouni2, Mona A Ammar2
1Department of Anesthesiology, Intensive Care and Pain Management, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, 15 Gamal Noah Street, Almaza, Heliopolis, Cairo, 11341, Egypt. hakimsm@med.asu.edu.eg.
Insights
Convalescent plasma transfusion (CPT) does not significantly reduce mortality or the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) in COVID-19 patients. High-certainty evidence indicates CPT is futile, suggesting further trials are unnecessary.
Area of Science:
- * Infectious Diseases and Virology
- * Critical Care Medicine
- * Evidence-Based Medicine
Background:
- * The efficacy of convalescent plasma transfusion (CPT) for treating coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains a critical research question.
- * Evaluating CPT's impact on mortality and the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) is essential for clinical decision-making.
Approach:
- * A comprehensive meta-analysis of 26 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) involving 19,816 patients was conducted to assess mortality outcomes.
- * An additional meta-analysis of 17 RCTs (16,083 patients) evaluated the need for IMV.
- * High-level evidence was confirmed through trim-and-fill adjustments and trial sequential analysis (TSA) to ensure robustness and assess futility.
Key Points:
- * Meta-analysis revealed no statistically significant benefit of CPT in reducing mortality (RR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.92 to 1.02).
- * CPT showed no significant effect on the need for IMV (RR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.95 to 1.10).
- * Both analyses demonstrated unimportant heterogeneity and adequate information size, confirming the futility of CPT.
Conclusions:
- * With a high level of certainty, CPT as an adjunct to standard treatment for COVID-19 does not decrease mortality or the need for IMV.
- * The futility of CPT in COVID-19 treatment is established, supported by robust statistical analyses.
- * Further clinical trials investigating the efficacy of CPT in COVID-19 patients are unlikely to yield positive results and are likely not needed.
Abstract:
The aim of this review was to update evidence for benefit of convalescent plasma transfusion (CPT) in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Databases were searched for randomized controlled trials (RCT) comparing CPT plus standard treatment versus standard treatment only in adults with COVID-19. Primary outcome measures were mortality and need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Twenty-Six RCT involving 19,816 patients were included in meta-analysis for mortality. Quantitative synthesis showed no statistically significant benefit of adding CPT to standard treatment (RR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.92 to 1.02) with unimportant heterogeneity (Q(25) = 26.48, p = .38, I2 = 0.00%). Trim-and-fill-adjusted effect size was unimportantly changed and level of evidence was graded as high. Trial sequential analysis (TSA) indicated information size was adequate and CPT was futile. Seventeen trials involving 16,083 patients were included in meta-analysis for need of IMV. There was no statistically significant effect of CPT (RR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.95 to 1.10) with unimportant heterogeneity (Q(16) = 9.43, p = .89, I2 = 3.30%). Trim-and-fill-adjusted effect size was trivially changed and level of evidence was graded as high. TSA showed information size was adequate and indicated futility of CPT. It is concluded with high level of certainty that CPT added to standard treatment of COVID-19 is not associated with reduced mortality or need of IMV compared with standard treatment alone. In view of these findings, further trials on efficacy of CPT in COVID-19 patients are probably not needed.
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