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Updated: Aug 9, 2025

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
Learning by Population Genetics and Matrix Riccati Equation
1Steklov Mathematical Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences, Gubkina St. 8, 119991 Moscow, Russia.
Abstract:
A model of learning as a generalization of the Eigen's quasispecies model in population genetics is introduced. Eigen's model is considered as a matrix Riccati equation. The error catastrophe in the Eigen's model (when the purifying selection becomes ineffective) is discussed as the divergence of the Perron-Frobenius eigenvalue of the Riccati model in the limit of large matrices. A known estimate for the Perron-Frobenius eigenvalue provides an explanation for observed patterns of genomic evolution. We propose to consider the error catastrophe in Eigen's model as an analog of overfitting in learning theory; this gives a criterion for the presence of overfitting in learning.
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