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Prognostic value of growth differentiation factor-15 in patients with coronary artery disease: A meta-analysis and
Song Zhang1,2,3,4, Panpan Hao3,4, Jiaxin Li1,2,3,4
1Department of Emergency and Chest Pain Center, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Insights
Elevated growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) levels in coronary artery disease (CAD) patients predict higher risks of all-cause and cardiovascular death. GDF-15 shows a weaker predictive effect on myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biomarkers
- Predictive Analytics
Background:
- The prognostic value of growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) in coronary artery disease (CAD) patients is debated.
- This study investigates GDF-15's predictive capacity for cardiovascular outcomes, including all-cause death, cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction (MI), and stroke.
Approach:
- A comprehensive meta-analysis was conducted, pooling data from 10 studies involving 49,443 CAD patients.
- Searches included PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science up to December 2020.
- Statistical analyses included fixed/random effect models, subgroup analyses, sensitivity analyses, and publication bias assessment.
Key Points:
- High GDF-15 concentrations significantly increased the risk of all-cause death (HR 2.24) and cardiovascular death (HR 2.00) in CAD patients, even after adjusting for other biomarkers.
- GDF-15 also predicted MI risk (HR 1.42), though with a lower magnitude compared to death outcomes.
- The association between GDF-15 and stroke risk was borderline significant (HR 1.43, p=0.05).
Conclusions:
- Elevated GDF-15 levels on admission are an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular death in CAD patients.
- GDF-15 demonstrates a diminished predictive value for MI compared to mortality outcomes.
- Further research is warranted to clarify the association between GDF-15 and stroke outcomes in this population.
Background And Aims:
The predictive value of growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) for individual cardiovascular outcomes remained controversial in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). We aimed to investigate the effects of GDF-15 on all-cause death, cardiovascular death, MI and stroke in CAD patients.
Methods:
We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane library and Web of Science till 30 December, 2020. Hazard ratios (HRs) were combined with fixed or random effect meta-analyses. Subgroup analyses were performed in different disease types. Sensitivity analyses were used to evaluate the stability of the results. Publication bias was tested using funnel plots.
Results:
A total of 10 studies with 49,443 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Patients with the highest GDF-15 concentrations had significantly increased risk of all-cause death (HR 2.24; 95% CI: 1.95-2.57), cardiovascular death (HR 2.00; 95% CI: 1.66-2.42), MI (HR 1.42; 95% CI: 1.21-1.66) after adjusting clinical characteristics and prognostic biomarkers (hs-TnT, cystatin C, hs-CRP, and NT-proBNP) but except for stroke (HR 1.43; 95% CI: 1.01-2.03, p = 0.05). For the outcome of all-cause death and cardiovascular death, subgroup analyses revealed consistent results. Sensitivity analyses showed that the results were stable. Funnel plots showed that there was no publication bias.
Conclusion:
In CAD patients with elevated GDF-15 levels on admission, there were independently significant risks for all-cause death and cardiovascular death. The highest concentrations of GDF-15 had a lower predictive effect on MI than all-cause death and cardiovascular death. The association of GDF-15 with the outcome of stroke needs to be further studied.
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