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Informal creditors and sovereign debt restructuring.

Sayantan Ghosal1, Dania Thomas1

  • 1University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.

Indian Economic Review
|March 1, 2023
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Sovereign debt restructuring can improve social welfare and efficiency, especially after negative shocks. Citizen participation ensures efficient debt restructuring, supporting initiatives like the UNCTAD Roadmap.

Keywords:
DebtDefaultEliteEx anteInterimNon-contractibleNon-elitePayoffsRestructuringWelfare

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Area of Science:

  • Economics
  • Public Finance
  • International Finance

Background:

  • Conventional sovereign debt restructuring models emphasize costly adjustments to reduce interest rates.
  • Negative external shocks can destabilize sovereign debt markets.
  • The role of citizen participation in debt restructuring outcomes is often overlooked.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the welfare and efficiency implications of sovereign debt restructuring under negative external shocks.
  • To investigate the impact of citizen participation on the efficiency of sovereign debt restructuring.
  • To provide a normative justification for the UNCTAD Roadmap based on economic principles.

Main Methods:

  • Economic modeling of sovereign debt restructuring.
  • Analysis of welfare gains (interim social welfare) and efficiency gains (ex ante efficiency).
  • Examination of conditions under which debt restructuring is beneficial.

Main Results:

  • Debt restructuring can yield interim social welfare gains and ex ante efficiency gains, even with associated costs.
  • Under specific conditions and with citizen participation, sovereign debt restructuring can be efficient.
  • The findings support the rationale for proposed debt restructuring frameworks.

Conclusions:

  • Sovereign debt restructuring, particularly with citizen involvement, offers a pathway to improved economic outcomes.
  • The study provides theoretical backing for policy recommendations such as the UNCTAD Roadmap.
  • Efficient debt restructuring is achievable and beneficial under certain economic conditions.