Phenotypic subtypes predict outcomes in colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths globally. The Colorectal Cancer Subtyping Consortium used the transcriptome-based method to classify CRC according to four molecular subtypes, each showing different genomic alterations and prognoses: CMS1 (microsatellite instable [MSI] immune), CMS2 (canonical), CMS3 (metabolic), and CMS4 (mesenchymal). To expedite the clinical implementation of such methods, easier and preferably tumor phenotype-based methods are needed. In this study, we describe a method to divide patients into four phenotypic subgroups using immunohistochemistry. Moreover, we analyze disease-specific survival (DSS) among different phenotypic subtypes and the associations between the phenotypic subtypes and clinicopathological variables.

We categorized 480 surgically treated CRC patients into four phenotypic subtypes (immune, canonical, metabolic, and mesenchymal) using the immunohistochemically determined CD3-CD8 tumor-stroma index, proliferation index, and tumor-stroma percentage. We analyzed survival rates for the phenotypic subtypes in different clinical patient subgroups using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis. Associations between phenotypic subtypes and clinicopathological variables were examined using the chi-square test.

Patients with immune subtype tumors exhibited the best 5-year DSS, while mesenchymal subtype tumors accompanied the worst prognosis. The prognostic value of the canonical subtype showed wide variation among different clinical subgroups. Immune subtype tumors were associated with being female, stage I disease, and a right-side colon location. Metabolic tumors, however, were associated with pT3 and pT4 tumors, and being male. Finally, a mesenchymal subtype associated with stage IV disease, a mucinous histology, and a rectal tumor location.

Phenotypic subtype predicts patient outcome in CRC. Associations and prognostic values for subtypes resemble the transcriptome-based consensus molecular subtypes (CMS) classification. In our study, the immune subtype stood out with its exceptionally good prognosis. Moreover, the canonical subtype showed wide variability among clinical subgroups. Further studies are needed to investigate the concordance between transcriptome-based classification systems and the phenotypic subtypes.