R2CHA2DS2-VA Predictsthe Cardiovascular Risk after Carotid Endarterectomy

R2CHA2DS2-VA score has been used to predict short and long-term outcomes in many cardiovascular diseases. This study aims to validate the R2CHA2DS2-VA score as a long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) predictor after carotid endarterectomy (CEA). Secondary outcomes were also assessed regarding the incidence of all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), major adverse limb events (MALE), and acute heart failure (AHF).

From January 2012 to December 2021, patients (n = 205) from a Portuguese tertiary care and referral center that underwent CEA with regional anesthesia (RA) for carotid stenosis (CS) were selected from a previously collected prospective database, and a posthoc analysis was performed. Demographics and comorbidities were registered. Clinical adverse events were assessed 30 days after the procedure and in the subsequent long-term surveillance period. Statistical analysis was performed by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression.

Of the patients enrolled, 78.5% were males with a mean age of 70.44 ± 8.9 years. Higher scores of R2CHA2DS2-VA were associated with long-term MACE (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.390; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.173-1.647); and mortality (aHR 1.295; 95% CI 1.08-1.545).

This study demonstrated the potential of the R2CHA2DS2-VA score to predict long-term outcomes, such as AMI, AHF, MACE, and all-cause mortality, in a population of patients submitted to carotid endarterectomy.