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Drought-flood abrupt alteration events over China
Wuxia Bi1, Meng Li2, Baisha Weng3
1State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China; Research Center on Flood & Drought Disaster Prevention and Reduction of the Ministry of Water Resources, Beijing 100038, China; Yinshanbeilu Grassland Eco-hydrology National Observation and Research Station, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China.
Abstract:
Drought-flood abrupt alternation (DFAA) is characterized by a period of persistent drought followed by sudden heavy precipitation at a certain level, with impacts on ecosystems and socioeconomic environment. At present, previous studies have mainly focuses on the monthly scale and regional scale. However, this study proposed a multi-indicator daily-scale method for identifying the DFAA occurrence, and explored the DFAA events over China from 1961 to 2018. The DFAA events mainly occurred in the center and southeast of China, especially in the Yangtze River Basin, Pearl River Basin, Huai River Basin, Southeast Rivers Basin, and south part of the Southwest Rivers Basin. The spatial coverage has a statistically significant (p < 0.05) increasing trend over China, of 0.355 %/decade. The occurrence and spatial coverage of DFAA events increased by decades, and were mainly concentrated in summer (around 85 %). The possible formation mechanisms were closely related to global warming, atmospheric circulation index anomalies, soil properties (e.g., soil field capacity), etc.
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