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Ten-year survival of children with trisomy 13 or trisomy 18: a multi-registry European cohort study
Svetlana V Glinianaia1, Judith Rankin2, Joachim Tan3
1Newcastle University Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK svetlana.glinianaia@ncl.ac.uk.
Insights
Survival rates for children with trisomy 13 (T13) and trisomy 18 (T18) show that a significant portion, 32% and 21% respectively, can live to age 10 if they survive the first four weeks. These findings aid in counseling families after prenatal diagnosis.
Area of Science:
- Genetics and Genomics
- Pediatric Medicine
- Public Health Surveillance
Background:
- Trisomy 13 (T13) and Trisomy 18 (T18) are severe chromosomal abnormalities associated with high neonatal mortality.
- Accurate survival data is crucial for parental counseling and clinical management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the long-term survival rates up to 10 years of age for children diagnosed with T13 or T18.
- To provide updated survival estimates for clinical and familial guidance.
Main Methods:
- A population-based cohort study utilizing linked mortality data from 13 European registries (EUROCAT network).
- Inclusion of live births with T13 or T18, including translocations and mosaicisms, between 1995 and 2014.
- Survival estimates calculated using random-effects meta-analyses of Kaplan-Meier survival data.
Main Results:
- Estimated survival for T13: 34% at 4 weeks, 17% at 1 year, and 11% at 10 years.
- Estimated survival for T18: 38% at 4 weeks, 13% at 1 year, and 8% at 10 years.
- Conditional 10-year survival for those surviving to 4 weeks: 32% for T13 and 21% for T18.
Conclusions:
- Despite high neonatal mortality, a substantial proportion of infants with T13 and T18 who survive the neonatal period can live to 10 years.
- These survival estimates offer valuable information for genetic counseling following prenatal diagnosis of T13 or T18.
Objective:
To investigate the survival to 10 years of age of children with trisomy 13 (T13) and children with trisomy 18 (T18), born 1995-2014.
Design:
Population-based cohort study that linked mortality data to data on children born with T13 or T18, including translocations and mosaicisms, from 13 member registries of EUROCAT, a European network for the surveillance of congenital anomalies.
Setting:
13 regions in nine Western European countries.
Patients:
252 live births with T13 and 602 with T18.
Main Outcome Measures:
Survival at 1 week, 4 weeks and 1, 5 and 10 years of age estimated by random-effects meta-analyses of registry-specific Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.
Results:
Survival estimates of children with T13 were 34% (95% CI 26% to 46%), 17% (95% CI 11% to 29%) and 11% (95% CI 6% to 18%) at 4 weeks, 1 and 10 years, respectively. The corresponding survival estimates were 38% (95% CI 31% to 45%), 13% (95% CI 10% to 17%) and 8% (95% CI 5% to 13%) for children with T18. The 10-year survival conditional on surviving to 4 weeks was 32% (95% CI 23% to 41%) and 21% (95% CI 15% to 28%) for children with T13 and T18, respectively.
Conclusions:
This multi-registry European study found that despite extremely high neonatal mortality in children with T13 and T18, 32% and 21%, respectively, of those who survived to 4 weeks were likely to survive to age 10 years. These reliable survival estimates are useful to inform counselling of parents after prenatal diagnosis.
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