Risk of Experiencing an Overdose Event for Patients Undergoing Treatment With Medication for Opioid Use Disorder

Overdose risk during a course of treatment with medication for opioid use disorder (MOUD) has not been clearly delineated. The authors sought to address this gap by leveraging a new data set from three large pragmatic clinical trials of MOUD.

Adverse event logs, including overdose events, from the three trials (N=2,199) were harmonized, and the overall risk of having an overdose event in the 24 weeks after randomization was compared for each study arm (one methadone, one naltrexone, and three buprenorphine groups), using survival analysis with time-dependent Cox proportional hazard models.

By week 24, 39 participants had ≥1 overdose event. The observed frequency of having an overdose event was 15 (5.30%) among 283 patients assigned to naltrexone, eight (1.51%) among 529 patients assigned to methadone, and 16 (1.15%) among 1,387 patients assigned to buprenorphine. Notably, 27.9% of patients assigned to extended-release naltrexone never initiated the medication, and their overdose rate was 8.9% (7/79), compared with 3.9% (8/204) among those who initiated naltrexone. Controlling for sociodemographic and time-varying medication adherence variables and baseline substance use, a proportional hazard model did not show a significant effect of naltrexone assignment. Significantly higher probabilities of experiencing an overdose event were observed among patients with baseline benzodiazepine use (hazard ratio=3.36, 95% CI=1.76, 6.42) and those who either were never inducted on their assigned study medication (hazard ratio=6.64, 95% CI=2.12, 19.54) or stopped their medication after initial induction (hazard ratio=4.04, 95% CI=1.54, 10.65).

Among patients with opioid use disorder seeking medication treatment, the risk of overdose events over the next 24 weeks is elevated among those who fail to initiate or discontinue medication and those who report benzodiazepine use at baseline.