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Updated: Aug 7, 2025

Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Five-year follow-up mortality prognostic index for colorectal patients
Miren Orive1,2,3, Irantzu Barrio4,5, Santiago Lázaro6,7
1Department of Social Psychology, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU, Vitoria, Spain. Miren.orive@ehu.eus.
Purpose:
To identify 5-year survival prognostic variables in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) and to propose a survival prognostic score that also takes into account changes over time in the patient's health-related quality of life (HRQoL) status.
Methods:
Prospective observational cohort study of CRC patients. We collected data from their diagnosis, intervention, and at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years following the index intervention, also collecting HRQoL data using the EuroQol-5D-5L (EQ-5D-5L), European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer's Quality of Life Questionnaire-Core 30 (EORTC-QLQ-C30), and Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) questionnaires. Multivariate Cox proportional models were used.
Results:
We found predictors of mortality over the 5-year follow-up to be being older; being male; having a higher TNM stage; having a higher lymph node ratio; having a result of CRC surgery classified as R1 or R2; invasion of neighboring organs; having a higher score on the Charlson comorbidity index; having an ASA IV; and having worse scores, worse quality of life, on the EORTC and EQ-5D questionnaires, as compared to those with higher scores in each of those questionnaires respectively.
Conclusions:
These results allow preventive and controlling measures to be established on long-term follow-up of these patients, based on a few easily measurable variables.
Implications For Cancer Survivors:
Patients with colorectal cancer should be monitored more closely depending on the severity of their disease and comorbidities as well as the perceived health-related quality of life, and preventive measures should be established to prevent adverse outcomes and therefore to ensure that better treatment is received.
Trial Registration:
ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02488161.
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