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Potential predictors for progression of moyamoya disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Jun Cao1,2, Zixuan Xing3, Ling Dai4
1Department of Neurosurgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Background:
The progress of Moyamoya disease (MMD) is often accompanied by the occurrence of new ischemia or hemorrhagic events, which was difficult to predict. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to identify predictors for progression in MMD patients.
Methods:
We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases up to December 10th, 2022 for randomized controlled trials, case-control studies, or cohort studies reporting predictors of disease progression in MMD patients. The results of each predictor were pooled by meta-analysis and further analyzed by subgroup analysis for predictors of unilateral to bilateral progression of MMD.
Results:
A total of 842 patients from 12 studies were included. The estimated pooled means indicated lower age (standard mean difference [SMD]: -0.29, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.55 to -0.03; P = 0.03), family history (odds ratio [OR] 3.97, 95% CI: 1.96 to 8.03; P < 0.001) and contralateral abnormality (OR 3.95, 95% CI: 1.10 to 14.20; P = 0.04) were associated with progression in MMD patients. Subgroup analyses indicated that the same three factors were associated with the progression of unilateral to bilateral MMD.
Conclusions:
This meta-analysis revealed that lower age, family history and contralateral abnormality were associated with progression in MMD patients. The same three factors are associated with the progression of unilateral to bilateral MMD. Further studies are needed to validate our results.
Insights
Predictors for Moyamoya disease (MMD) progression include younger age, family history, and contralateral abnormalities. These factors also indicate progression from unilateral to bilateral MMD, aiding in early identification and management.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Vascular Neurology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Moyamoya disease (MMD) progression is challenging to predict, often marked by new ischemic or hemorrhagic events.
- Identifying reliable predictors is crucial for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes.
Approach:
- A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted, searching major databases for relevant studies up to December 2022.
- Included were randomized controlled trials, case-control studies, and cohort studies focusing on MMD progression predictors.
- Pooled analysis and subgroup analyses were performed to identify significant predictive factors for disease advancement.
Key Points:
- Lower age (SMD: -0.29, 95% CI: -0.55 to -0.03; P = 0.03) was associated with MMD progression.
- Family history (OR: 3.97, 95% CI: 1.96 to 8.03; P < 0.001) emerged as a significant predictor.
- Contralateral abnormality (OR: 3.95, 95% CI: 1.10 to 14.20; P = 0.04) also correlated with disease progression.
Conclusions:
- Younger age, family history, and contralateral abnormalities are key predictors of MMD progression.
- These factors are also associated with the transition of MMD from unilateral to bilateral involvement.
- Further research is recommended to validate these findings and refine predictive models for MMD.
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