Upfront Surgery Versus Definitive Radiotherapy: Competing Risk Analyses in Early Stage Oropharyngeal Cancer

To compare the survival outcomes of early-stage oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) patients treated with upfront surgery versus definitive radiotherapy (RT).

Retrospective observational study.

Publicly available database.

A total of 1877 patients with T1-2N0-1M0 OPC were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Primary endpoints were cancer-specific and noncancer mortalities, which were estimated using cumulative incidence function and compared by Gray's test. Univariate and multivariate Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models were used to estimate the effects of treatment modality on mortality. Subgroup analyses were performed in propensity-score-matched cohorts. All the analyses were conducted separately in human papillomavirus (HPV)-negative and HPV-positive cohorts.

In the HPV-negative cohort, definitive RT was independently associated with increased risk of cancer-specific mortality (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR], 2.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.42-3.68; p = .001) and noncancer mortality (adjusted SHR, 2.74; 95% CI, 1.50-5.02; p = .001). In the HPV-positive cohort, definitive RT and upfront surgery could achieve similar cancer-specific and noncancer survival outcomes.

Upfront surgery is associated with lower cancer-specific and noncancer mortality in HPV-negative early-stage OPC patients. However, in the setting of HPV-positive early-stage OPC with better prognosis, the 2 treatment modalities have similar efficacy in terms of cancer-specific and noncancer survival outcomes. In the future, carefully designed prospective clinical trials are needed to confirm our findings.