Negative Troponin I as a Predictor of Survival in Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019

Fergie J Losiniecki1, Jose Lopez2, Majd Jazaerly3

  • 1Division of Electrophysiology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC, United States.

Insights

A normal troponin I level within 24 hours of admission for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with lower in-hospital mortality and fewer cardiac complications. This finding suggests a negative troponin I may indicate a less severe hospital course for COVID-19 patients.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Critical Care Medicine

Background:

  • Limited data exists on the prognostic value of normal troponin I levels in Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients.
  • Troponin I is a biomarker for cardiac injury, but its role in risk stratification for COVID-19 requires further investigation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the utility and negative predictive value of serum troponin I levels for predicting in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients.
  • To determine if a normal troponin I level within the first 24 hours of admission can identify patients with a more benign clinical course.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 65,580 adult COVID-19 patients admitted between March 2020 and March 2021.
  • Patients were stratified based on troponin I levels (elevated vs. negative) within 24 hours of admission.
  • Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated to assess associations with mortality and complications.

Main Results:

  • A negative troponin I value was significantly associated with reduced odds of in-hospital death (OR = 0.32) and cardiac complications (OR = 0.38).
  • The negative predictive value of a normal troponin I for all-cause in-hospital mortality was 85.7%.
  • No significant difference in hospital length of stay was observed between groups.

Conclusions:

  • A normal troponin I level in the first 24 hours of admission is a significant indicator of decreased mortality risk in COVID-19 patients.
  • The absence of troponin I elevation may predict a more favorable hospital outcome.
  • Normal troponin I levels can aid in risk stratification for COVID-19 patients.
Abstract

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