Racial Equity in Healthcare Machine Learning: Illustrating Bias in Models With Minimal Bias Mitigation
Michael Barton1, Mahmoud Hamza2, Borna Guevel2
1Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA.
Abstract:
Background and objective While the potential of machine learning (ML) in healthcare to positively impact human health continues to grow, the potential for inequity in these methods must be assessed. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the presence of racial bias when five of the most common ML algorithms are used to create models with minimal processing to reduce racial bias. Methods By utilizing a CDC public database, we constructed models for the prediction of healthcare access (binary variable). Using area under the curve (AUC) as our performance metric, we calculated race-specific performance comparisons for each ML algorithm. We bootstrapped our entire analysis 20 times to produce confidence intervals for our AUC performance metrics. Results With the exception of only a few cases, we found that the performance for the White group was, in general, significantly higher than that of the other racial groups across all ML algorithms. Additionally, we found that the most accurate algorithm in our modeling was Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) followed by random forest, naive Bayes, support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbors (KNN). Conclusion Our study illustrates the predictive perils of incorporating minimal racial bias mitigation in ML models, resulting in predictive disparities by race. This is particularly concerning in the setting of evidence for limited bias mitigation in healthcare-related ML. There needs to be more conversation, research, and guidelines surrounding methods for racial bias assessment and mitigation in healthcare-related ML models, both those currently used and those in development.
Insights
Machine learning (ML) models in healthcare show racial bias, with lower performance for non-White groups across algorithms. Minimal bias mitigation efforts exacerbate these disparities, highlighting the need for better assessment and guidelines.
Area of Science:
- Health Informatics
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
- Health Equity
Background:
- Machine learning (ML) offers significant potential to improve healthcare outcomes.
- However, the risk of inherent inequities within ML algorithms requires careful evaluation.
- Assessing racial bias in healthcare ML is crucial for equitable application.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate racial bias in five common ML algorithms used for healthcare access prediction.
- To determine if minimal bias mitigation strategies reduce racial disparities in model performance.
- To compare the performance of different ML algorithms in the presence of racial bias.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a CDC public database to construct ML models for predicting healthcare access.
- Employed Area Under the Curve (AUC) as the primary performance metric.
- Conducted 20 bootstrap analyses to generate confidence intervals for AUC metrics and compared race-specific performance.
Main Results:
- ML models demonstrated significantly higher performance for the White group compared to other racial groups across most algorithms.
- Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) was the most accurate algorithm, followed by random forest, naive Bayes, SVM, and KNN.
- Minimal bias mitigation strategies were insufficient to overcome existing racial performance disparities.
Conclusions:
- The study highlights the significant risk of racial disparities in healthcare ML models, even with limited bias mitigation.
- Existing ML models may perpetuate or worsen health inequities due to performance differences across racial groups.
- There is an urgent need for enhanced research, guidelines, and conversations on assessing and mitigating racial bias in healthcare ML.
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