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Estimation of Life's Essential 8 Score with Incomplete Data of Individual Metrics
Yi Zheng1, Tianyi Huang1,2, Marta Guasch-Ferre3,4,5
1Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Insights
Life's Essential 8 (LE8) assesses cardiovascular health (CVH) using eight metrics. Routinely collected factors can accurately estimate overall CVH, even with incomplete LE8 data, enabling better CVH tracking.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Health Assessment
- Predictive Modeling in Public Health
Background:
- Life's Essential 8 (LE8) is a comprehensive cardiovascular health (CVH) metric set.
- Measuring all LE8 components simultaneously is difficult in clinical and research settings.
- This limits tracking long-term CVH trajectories.
Approach:
- Utilized data from Nurses' Health Studies (NHS, NHSII), Health Professional's Follow-up Study (HPFS), and National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).
- Developed predictive models using routinely collected factors (demographics, BMI, smoking, etc.) to estimate LE8 scores.
- Employed gradient boosting decision trees with cross-validation for model tuning and validation.
Key Points:
- Models using routinely collected factors accurately predicted LE8 scores with low root mean squared errors (RMSEs).
- Inclusion of less frequently measured factors further improved prediction accuracy.
- Predicted CVH scores demonstrated consistent effect estimates compared to observed scores in associational studies.
Conclusions:
- Routinely measured CVH-related factors can effectively estimate overall CVH when LE8 metrics are incomplete.
- This approach offers a feasible and cost-effective method for assessing CVH.
- Enables tracking of individual CVH trajectories in various settings.
Background:
The American Heart Association's Life's Essential 8 (LE8) is an updated construct of cardiovascular health (CVH), including blood pressure, lipids, glucose, body mass index, nicotine exposure, diet, physical activity, and sleep health. It is challenging to simultaneously measure all eight metrics at multiple time points in most research and clinical settings, hindering the use of LE8 to assess individuals' overall CVH trajectories over time.
Methods And Results:
We obtained data from 5,588 participants in the Nurses' Health Studies (NHS, NHSII) and Health Professional's Follow-up Study (HPFS), and 27,194 participants in the 2005-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) with all eight metrics available. Individuals' overall cardiovascular health (CVH) was determined by LE8 score (0-100). CVH-related factors that are routinely collected in many settings (i.e., demographics, BMI, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and diabetes) were included as predictors in the base models of LE8 score, and subsequent models further included less frequently measured factors (i.e., physical activity, diet, blood pressure, and sleep health). Gradient boosting decision trees were trained with hyper-parameters tuned by cross-validations. The base models trained using NHS, NHSII, and HPFS had validated root mean squared errors (RMSEs) of 8.06 (internal) and 16.72 (external). Models with additional predictors further improved performance. Consistent results were observed in models trained using NHANES. The predicted CVH scores can generate consistent effect estimates in associational studies as the observed CVH scores.
Conclusions:
CVH-related factors routinely measured in many settings can be used to accurately estimate individuals' overall CVH when LE8 metrics are incomplete.
Clinical Perspective:
What Is New?: Life's Essential 8 (LE8) has great potential to assess and promote cardiovascular health (CVH) across life course, however, it is challenging to simultaneously collect all eight metrics at multiple time points in most research and clinical settings.We demonstrated that CVH-related factors routinely collected in many research and clinical settings can be used to accurately estimate individuals' overall CVH across time even when LE8 metrics are incomplete.What Are the Clinical Implications?: The approach introduced in this study provides a cost-effective and feasible way to estimate individuals' overall CVH.It can be used to track individuals' CVH trajectories in clinical settings.
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