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Age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index predicts postoperative mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture: A
Dan-Long Zhang1, Yu-Xuan Cong1, Yan Zhuang1
1Department of Trauma and Orthopedic Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Insights
The age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI) significantly predicts mortality in elderly hip fracture patients. Higher aCCI scores correlate with increased postoperative mortality risk, highlighting its predictive value.
Area of Science:
- Geriatric Medicine
- Surgical Outcomes
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery face significant postoperative mortality risks.
- The age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI) is a potential tool for assessing patient risk.
- Understanding the association between aCCI and mortality is crucial for clinical decision-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the clinical association between the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI) and postoperative mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures.
- To determine if aCCI is a reliable predictor of mortality in this vulnerable population.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective study included 2,657 elderly patients with hip fractures (January 2015 - September 2019).
- Demographic and clinical data were collected, and multivariate Cox regression models were employed.
- The association between aCCI and all-cause mortality was analyzed using EmpowerStats and R software.
Main Results:
- The mean follow-up was 38.97 months, with an overall mortality rate of 34.14%.
- A higher aCCI score was significantly associated with increased mortality (HR = 1.31, P < 0.0001).
- Mortality risk increased progressively with higher aCCI quartiles, demonstrating a linear trend (P < 0.0001).
Conclusions:
- The age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI) is a strong predictor of three-year mortality following hip fracture in elderly patients.
- Each one-unit increase in aCCI was associated with a 31% increase in mortality risk.
- aCCI can aid in risk stratification and management planning for elderly hip fracture patients.
Background:
This study aimed to evaluate the clinical association between the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI) and postoperative mortality in elderly patients.
Materials And Methods:
Elderly patients with hip fractures were screened from January 2015 to September 2019. After demographic and clinical characteristics were collected, linear and non-linear multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify the association between the aCCI and mortality. All analyses were performed using EmpowerStats and R software.
Results:
A total of 2,657 patients were included in the study, and the mean follow-up duration was of 38.97 months. The mean aCCI score was 4.24 ± 1.09, and 977 (34.14%) died of all-cause mortality. The fully-adjusted linear multivariate Cox regression models showed the aCCI to be associated with mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.31, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.21-1.41, P < 0.0001]. Patients in Q2 showed greater mortality (HR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.23-2.09; P = 0.0005) than those in Q1; patients in Q3 showed greater mortality (HR = 2.18, 95% CI: 1.66-2.87; P < 0.001) than those in Q1. In addition, the P-value for the trend also showed a linear association in the three models (P < 0.0001). In the sensitivity analysis, propensity score matching was used, and the results were stable.
Conclusion:
The mortality risk of hip fractures increased by 31% when the aCCI increased by one unit. aCCI score was shown to be a good predictor of three-year mortality following hip fracture.
Clinical Trial Registration:
http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=152919, identifier ChiCTR2200057323.
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